US: NY Empire State Manufacturing Index slumps to -0.70 in January vs. expected drop to 25.70

Headline NY Fed Manufacturing Index fell to -0.70 in January, well below expectations for 25.70.
The DXY saw some mild weakness in an immediate reaction.

Joel Frank Independent Analyst

The headline General Business Conditions Index of the NY Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey slid to -0.70 in January, from December's 31.90 reading. That was much larger than the expected drop to 25.70 and marked the first time the reading had fallen into negative territory since June 2020.

Subindices:

The New Orders subindex fell to -5.0 in January from 27.1 in December.
The Prices Paid subindex fell to 76.7 from 80.2.
The Employment subindex fell to 16.1 from 21.4.
The Six-month Business Conditions subindex remained elevated at 35.1 versus 36.4 the month prior.

Market Reaction

The DXY has seen some modestly negative ticks in recent trade following the large miss on expectations in terms of the latest NY Fed survey, with the DXY recently falling back under 95.50.

Author

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.