|

US Dollar stretches gains – Scotiabank

The US Dollar (USD) is extending gains this morning, pressuring the EUR below 1.08 and driving USDPY above 152 as US yields rebound from yesterday’s dip, leaving the 10Y yield within a whisker of 4.25%, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

USD is supported by rising yields

“The tightening US election race is boosting short-term sentiment support for the USD. A Trump win would bolster expectations of higher global tariffs and generous tax cuts which would lift inflation and boost growth and underpin firm or firmer yields in the US.”

“Longer term risks for the USD cold arise under this scenario, however, with isolationism fueling de-dollarization and large tax giveaways undermining already weak fiscal sustainability. Gold might continue to outperform as a hedge against these this range of risks in the meantime.”

“It’s another day full of central bank speaking engagements, including the ECB’s Lagarde, Lane and Knot. The Fed releases its Beige Book while Bowman and Barkin speak and both are FOMC voters this year. There is a 20Y Treasury auction (results at 13ET). After the close, Japan releases October PMI data at 20.30ET.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold poised to challenge record highs

Gold prices added roughly 3% in the week, flirting with the $4,350 mark on Friday, to finally settle at around $4,330. Despite its safe-haven condition, the bright metal rallied in a risk-on scenario, amid broad US Dollar weakness.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.