US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Remains above 103.00 with expecting a trend reversal


  • The US Dollar Index may reverse its trend if it moves toward the narrower part of the descending wedge.
  • The momentum indicator MACD suggests a bearish trend for the US Dollar.
  • The nine-day EMA at 103.39 level could act as an immediate barrier.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) retraces its recent losses from the previous session, trading around 103.20 during the European hours on Monday. The daily chart analysis shows the pair is consolidating within a descending wedge, indicating a bearish bias. A move toward the narrower part of the descending wedge could suggest a potential trend reversal.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator points to bearish momentum, with the MACD line below both the signal line and the centerline. A convergence of the MACD line below the signal line would suggest a potential weakening of the bearish momentum for the US Dollar Index.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) consolidates above the 30 level, hinting at a possible upcoming correction. A further rise toward the 50 level would suggest a weakening of the bearish outlook.

On the downside, US Dollar (USD) may test key support at the lower edge of the descending wedge around the level of 102.90. A break below this level could increase downward pressure, potentially guiding the US Dollar Index to retest a six-month low at 102.17, recorded on August 5.

For resistance, the DXY may face an immediate barrier around the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 103.39 level, followed by the upper boundary of the descending wedge around 103.60 level. A breakout above this level could propel the index to retest a six-week high at 104.80, marked on July 30.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.06% 0.07% 0.44% -0.06% -0.33% -0.43% 0.42%
EUR 0.06%   0.15% 0.47% -0.01% -0.40% -0.38% 0.49%
GBP -0.07% -0.15%   0.58% -0.15% -0.55% -0.53% 0.31%
JPY -0.44% -0.47% -0.58%   -0.48% -0.83% -0.86% -0.07%
CAD 0.06% 0.01% 0.15% 0.48%   -0.33% -0.37% 0.47%
AUD 0.33% 0.40% 0.55% 0.83% 0.33%   0.02% 0.86%
NZD 0.43% 0.38% 0.53% 0.86% 0.37% -0.02%   0.84%
CHF -0.42% -0.49% -0.31% 0.07% -0.47% -0.86% -0.84%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

GBP/USD rises toward 1.2800 after UK data

GBP/USD rises toward 1.2800 after UK data

GBP/USD gains traction and edges higher toward 1.2800 in the European session on Tuesday. The data from the UK showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate declined to 4.2% in the three months to June from 4.4%, helping Pound Sterling find demand.

GBP/USD News

EUR/USD edges higher above 1.0900, US PPI data looms

EUR/USD edges higher above 1.0900, US PPI data looms

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.0940 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The major pair posts modest gains amid the consolidation of the Greenback. The release of the US Producer Price Index will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

EUR/USD News

Gold down but not out, focus shifts to US inflation data

Gold down but not out, focus shifts to US inflation data

Gold price is retreating from near a one-week high of $2,473 set on Monday, as traders lock in gains ahead of the key US inflation reports. The US Producer Price Index data will hog attention later on Tuesday while the US Consumer Price Index inflation release will stand out on Wednesday.  

Gold News

Curve DAO price is set for a rally following a break above the descending wedge pattern

Curve DAO price is set for a rally following a break above the descending wedge pattern

Curve DAO price broke out of the falling wedge pattern on Monday and trades up by 0.26% to $0.303 on Tuesday. On-chain data shows rising daily active addresses, indicating increased blockchain usage, which could signal a potential rally in the coming days.

Read more

Investors' focus set on PPI and CPI

Investors' focus set on PPI and CPI

In the US we get PPI numbers for July at 14.30 CET. Analysts expect both the headline and core figures to stand at 0.2% m/m. The measure could provide the market with early clues on how inflationary pressures have developed into the late summer.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures