|

US Dollar bear trend to gain momentum over the coming months – ING

The US Dollar (USD) dropped after the FOMC meeting revealed a Fed committed to rate cuts. Economists at ING analyze Greenback’s outlook.

The start of an important new trend for the Dollar, should US price data soften

Financial markets have reacted positively to a soft landing scenario, where the Fed seems biased to cut rates even though the economy is doing quite well.

For the Dollar, we think this could be the start of something important. we have felt the second quarter would be the period when a meaningful USD bear trend would start to develop in advance of the first Fed cut.

Additionally, seasonal factors are less Dollar-supportive from April onwards. It is a big if, but if the March US price data does start to edge lower – validating the Fed's scepticism over high early-year inflation – then we can start to see a Dollar bear trend gain momentum over the coming months.

We doubt US data will be a big market mover today and see DXY staying gently offered.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Zcash treasury Cypherpunk Technologies acquires $29 million additional tokens as ZEC battles key resistance

Zcash (ZEC) treasury firm Cypherpunk Technologies announced on Tuesday that it has acquired 56,418 ZEC for $29 million. The company executed the latest purchase at an average price of $514 per ZEC.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).