|

US bond yield differentials drive USD’s post-election strength – DBS

The USD’s post-election strength has been driven by widening US bond yield differentials against its counterparts because of US inflation worries over Trump’s plans for blanket tariffs, mass deportation of illegal immigrants, and tax cuts, DBS’ Senior FX Strategist Philip Wee notes.

S&P 500 Index retreats for the first time in six sessions

“The US Treasury 10Y yield rose by 12.3 bps to 4.43%, fully retracing its third quarter’s decline despite the two Fed cuts in September and November. The S&P 500 Index retreated for the first time in six sessions from profit-taking.”

“The index fell by 0.3% to 5984 overnight after hitting the psychological 6000 level on Monday, driven by rising US Treasury yields after the bond markets returned from the Veteran’s Day holiday.”

“With the futures market pulling back more than 100 bps of next year’s Fed cuts since mid-September, let’s see if investors start to worry about economic growth hopes baked into equities from Trump’s policies. Be alert to profit-taking risks in Bitcoin after this month’s surge to 90k.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm near 1.1850 amid USD weakness

EUR/USD remains strongly bid around 1.1850 in European trading on Monday. The USD/JPY slide-led broad US Dollar weakness helps the pair build on Friday's recovery ahead of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data for February. 

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback. 

Gold remains supported by China's buying and USD weakness as traders eye US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its intraday move up and remains below the $5,100 mark heading into the European session amid mixed cues. Data released over the weekend showed that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Fed expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Cardano steadies as whale selling caps recovery

Cardano (ADA) steadies at $0.27 at the time of writing on Monday after slipping more than 5% in the previous week. On-chain data indicate a bearish trend, with certain whales offloading ADA. However, the technical outlook suggests bearish momentum is weakening, raising the possibility of a short-term relief rebound if buying interest picks up.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.