|

US 10-year Treasury yields, S&P 500 Futures portray cautious optimism

  • US 10-year Treasury yields consolidate the previous day’s heavy fall.
  • S&P 500 Futures print mild gains despite Wall Street’s second consecutive clear loss.
  • US President Joe Biden’s six-pronged strategy, UK vaccine approval keep buyers hopeful after ECB and virus-led disappointment.
  • A light calendar challenges market moves but risk catalysts are the key.

Market sentiment improved during early Friday after a few dismal days, mainly due to the economic fears and tapering concerns.

While portraying the mood, the US 10-year Treasury yields regain a 1.30% level after dropping over four basis points (bps) the previous day. On the same line, S&P 500 Futures also ignore Wall Street benchmarks while printing 0.08% intraday gains to 4,495 at the latest.

US President Joe Biden unveiled details of his battle plan to overcome the pandemic during early Friday in Asia. While his main emphasis was on the faster vaccinations and push for masks, comments like “we can and we will turn the tide on COVID-19,” favored the bulls.

On the contrary were headlines from the Australian Financial Review (AFR) signaled that Canberra is considering terminating the agreement with China on a 99-year lease on the Port of Darwin. Further, China President Xi Jinping’s no gilt in regulatory crackdown over IT companies and COVID-19 fears in the Asia–Pacific chain the optimism.

That said, all three key US equity indices, namely the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), S&P 500 and Nasdaq, dropped for the second consecutive day on Thursday on pessimism surrounding the economic recovery being challenged by the Delta covid variant. Also weighing on the mood could be the headlines concerning the US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials’ push for tapering.

It should be noted, however, that Reuters news saying that UK’s Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) approved Pfizer and AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine to be used as booster shots battled the bears. Also on the positive side was the reduction in the weekly US Jobless Claims, from 335K expected to 310K for the week ended on September 03.

Furthermore, the European Central Bank (ECB) left its rates unchanged, with the main refinancing rate 0.00%, as widely expected, while lowering the pace of the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP), at €1,850 billion until at least March 2022, terming it as “recalibration” rather than “tapering”.  It’s worth noting that the ECB President Christine Lagarde sounded cautiously optimistic but failed to entertain the markets.

Looking forward, global markets may remain quiet ahead of the weekend amid a light calendar and a passage of the ECB. The same may allow the consolidation moves.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers further from one-month low set on Friday, eyes mid-1.1800s on weaker USD

The EUR/USD pair is seen building on Friday's late recovery from the 1.1750-1.1740 region, or a nearly one-month trough, and gaining some follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 1.1835 area during the Asian session and is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3500 amid tariff confusion

The GBP/USD pair gains traction to around 1.3520 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar faces some selling pressure against the Cable as tariff uncertainty lingers. Traders will take more cues from the US Producer Price Index report for January, which will be published later on Friday. 

Gold eyes a daily closing above key 61.8% Fibo resistance

Gold is adding over 1% early Monday, after having gained 2% on Friday. The bright metal scales key technical hurdles, as buyers stay strong amid renewed tariffs and economic uncertainty alongside looming US-Iran geopolitical tensions.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000

The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.

Liberation day take two, the tariff machine just changed gears

Let me caveat this from the outset. What we are watching is first-order mechanics, not the grand macro endgame. This is the market’s immediate reflex to a 15% Trump tariff levy dressed up as judicial drama. The Supreme Court blocked Trump tarrif hammer. The White House came back with a scalpel.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000

The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.