UK: Services PMI dropped to 50.1 in January - ING

James Knightley, chief international economist at ING, suggests that the UK services PMI news is even more grim as the headline index dropped to 50.1, the lowest level since the shock plunge that immediately followed the outcome of the Brexit vote back in the summer of 2016.

Key Quotes

“Taking all the surveys together and weighting them by their economic importance to the UK, the composite index is now at 50.3, suggesting an economy that is flat-lining.”

“Within the services report we can see new business actually contracting, with the survey stating that political uncertainty was the key reason for lower new orders. Worryingly, the employment component also dropped into contraction territory and business optimism is near decade lows. It is clear that business is worried and with the Brexit uncertainty set to continue, the risk is that activity softens further - firms will become increasingly risk averse and implement contingency Brexit planning. With all sectors of the UK economy now feeling pain, it is imperative the government and the House of Commons get a grip on Brexit. Meanwhile, the case for a Bank of England rate hike this year continues to recede.”