Economists at Wells Fargo continue to believe the best opportunities for currency strength and outperformance exist in emerging markets.
The most attractive yield opportunities continue to be found in the emerging market
We continue to believe the best opportunities for currency strength and outperformance exist in emerging markets; however, we have become slightly less constructive in the short term.
With the Fed tightening further and China's economy decelerating, we believe emerging market currencies can pause the current strengthening trend and hover around current levels through the end of this year. In fact, we would not be surprised if a sharp, but short-lived, sell-off across the emerging markets currency spectrum unfolded in the near future. This sell-off would likely not last long, and markets would re-focus on the fundamentals associated with EM currencies.
While the global growth outlook may be peaking combined with select institutions considering policy rate cuts, the most attractive yield opportunities continue to be found in emerging markets. In our view, attractive carry, especially during times of subdued volatility in currency markets, can result in capital flows toward emerging markets, and combined with broad Dollar depreciation, can support developing currencies over the longer-term.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD languishes near multi-year lows below 0.6250 after dovish RBA Minutes
AUD/USD remains depressed below 0.6250 early Tuesday after the December RBA Minutes reiterated that upside inflation risks had diminished, which reaffirms bets for a rate cut in early 2025. This, along with concerns about China's fragile economic recovery and US-China trade war, undermines the Aussie and weighs on the pair.
USD/JPY eases toward 157.00 after Japanese verbal intervention
USD/JPY has come under renewed selling pressure, easing toward 157.00 after Japanese Finance Minister Kato's verbal intervention. The pair erased early gains, induced by the October BoJ meeting Minutes. However, the downside could be limited as the US Dollar hold the previous rebound.
Gold: Buyers defends $2,600 ahead of holiday trading week
Gold price defends the $2,600 mark in the Asian session on Tuesday as buyers look to regain control. Markets face a relatively quiet trading session ahead of the holiday trading week. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for December will be watched out for later on Tuesday.
Solana dominates Bitcoin, Ethereum in price performance and trading volume: Glassnode
Solana is up 6% on Monday following a Glassnode report indicating that SOL has seen more capital increase than Bitcoin and Ethereum. Despite the large gains suggesting a relatively heated market, SOL could still stretch its growth before establishing a top for the cycle.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.