|

Technical analysis: Is the correction of DE30 quotes possible?

DAX Index technical analysis summary

Above 12400.

Buy Stop.

Below 14050.

Stop Loss.

IndicatorSignal
RSINeutral
MACDBuy
MA(200)Neutral
FractalsNeutral
Parabolic SARSell
Bollinger BandsNeutral

DAX Index chart analysis

Chart

On the daily timeframe, DE30: D1 is in a long-term triangle. It must be broken down before opening a position. A number of technical analysis indicators have formed downward signals, but the main signal may be the chart exiting the triangle downwards. We do not rule out a bearish movement if DE30: D1 falls below the triangle support line and the low since November 2020: 12400. This level can be used as an entry point. The initial risk limit is possible above the last upper fractal, the upper Bollinger band, the 200-day moving average line and the Parabolic signal: 14050. After opening a pending order, we move the stop following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal low. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. The most cautious traders, after making a trade, can switch to a four-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of movement. If the price overcomes the stop level (14050) without activating the order (12400), it is recommended to delete the order: there are internal changes in the market that were not taken into account.

Fundamental analysis of indices - DAX Index

The German economy is showing signs of slowing down. Is the correction of DE30 quotes possible?

Germany Producer Price Index for August will be published on September 20. It is expected to decline slightly compared to the record growth of +37.2% in July this year. A strong rise in energy prices could have a negative impact on the performance of German companies. Note that in the last 10 years Germany Trade Balance n.s.a. fluctuated around the mark of 20 billion euros per month. This year it is noticeably lower (4.9 billion euros in July). This may be an indirect sign of a decrease in the activity of German export companies. On September 23, the S&P Global Germany PMI for September will be released, which may affect the dynamics of DE30. Recall that the quarterly reports of German companies will be published at the end of October.


Want to get more free analytics? Open Demo Account now to get daily news and analytical materials.


Want to get more free analytics? Open Demo Account now to get daily news and analytical materials.

Author

Dmitry  Lukashov

Dmitry Lukashov

IFC Markets

Dimtry Lukashov is the senior analyst of IFC Markets. He started his professional career in the financial market as a trader interested in stocks and obligations.

More from Dmitry Lukashov
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold posts modest gains above $5,050 as US-Iran tensions persist despite strong labor data

Gold price trades in positive territory near $5,060 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher despite stronger-than-expected US employment data. The release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Friday. 

Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market

Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.