The beginning of September opens the door to a number of important scheduled events that are expected to shape the state of the SSA market over the remaining months of 2017, according to analysts a Rabobank.
Key Quotes
“Last week French President Emmanuel Macron released the details of his government’s planned labour market reforms.
“The Bundesbank now risks running into the 33% limit of its Bund purchases with our own calculation suggesting that if the German central bank were to continue purchases at the current monthly pace, it would run out of eligible government bonds in April of 2018. By default, this implies that the ECB will be forced to taper for technical reasons (remaining well short of their 2.0% inflation target). That said, the pace and magnitude of such tapering could well prove moderate given the GC’s likely concerns as regards the appreciation of the EUR over the course of this year (some 13% versus the USD, for example).”
“Toward the end of the month (September 24) German voters head to the polls to elect the country’s leadership and determine the mix of seats in parliament. Though the outcome is seen as restoring a safe pair of hands in the shape of Angela Merkel to the Chancellery, the country’s political establishment have been highly critical of the ECB’s QE programme on the grounds that it is tantamount to bailing out indebted states by stealth. The ECB has and continues to maintain that it has operated within its mandate and although some core politicians have argued their voters have been unduly penalised by QE, these same voters (savers) have also been the beneficiaries of record low borrowing costs. The latter element of this rationale, however, is not a message we anticipate Frau Merkel will be espousing as she extends her campaign trail.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.1100, looks to post weekly losses
EUR/USD continues to trade in a narrow range below 1.1100 and remains on track to end the week in negative territory. Earlier in the day, monthly PCE inflation data from the US came in line with the market expectation, failing to trigger a reaction.
GBP/USD struggles to find a foothold, trades near 1.3150
GBP/USD stays on the back foot and trades in negative territory at around 1.3150 on Friday. The US Dollar holds its ground following the July PCE inflation data and doesn't allow the pair to stage a rebound heading into the weekend.
Gold retreats toward $2,500 ahead of the weekend
Gold stays under modest bearish pressure and declines toward $2,500 in the American session on Friday. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher toward 3.9% after US PCE inflation data, causing XAU/USD to stretch lower.
Week ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation
Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts. The weaker than expected July numbers triggered market turbulence, instilling fears about a potential recession in the US.
Easing Eurozone inflation to back an ECB rate cut in September Premium
Eurostat will publish the preliminary estimate of the August Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices on Friday, and the anticipated outcome will back up the case for another European Central Bank interest rate cut when policymakers meet in September.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.