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SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE) Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE) Elliott Wave technical analysis

Daily chart analysis

  • Function: Major Trend.

  • Mode: Motive.

  • Structure: Impulse Wave.

  • Position: Wave i of (iii).

  • Direction: Uptrend.

  • Invalidation level: $84.03.

Details:

  • The current wave (iii) rally is in its early stage.

  • Wave i of (iii) is approaching its end, which sets up a possible wave ii pullback.

  • This wave ii retracement will likely provide a strong buying opportunity before the powerful wave iii of (iii) initiates.

  • The long-term trend remains bullish, keeping XLE at the top of our watchlist.

Four-hour chart analysis

  • Function: Major Trend.

  • Mode: Motive.

  • Structure: Impulse.

  • Position: Wave [4] of i.

  • Direction: Uptrend.

  • Invalidation level: $89.28.

  • Key resistance: $94.29.

  • Target price (Wave [5]): $96.00.

  • Key support (Fib Level): ~$90.00.

Details:

  • Wave [4] is developing as an expanded flat correction, expected to retrace around 38.2% of wave [3].

  • After wave [4] completes, wave [5] of i is projected to drive prices higher, targeting around $96.00.

  • Short-term investors should watch for an entry opportunity during this correction.

  • A break above $94.29 will confirm bullish momentum and the continuation of wave [5].

Conclusion

  • The wave [4] correction is currently playing out, likely to hold near the 38.2% retracement level.

  • Once complete, the next leg—wave [5]—is expected to push XLE toward $96.00, offering a favorable buying setup for ETF investors.

  • Traders should stay aligned with Elliott Wave principles and monitor the invalidation levels to avoid risk exposure.

SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE) Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

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