|

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Day Chart,        

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Trend                              

Mode: Impulsive                                          

Structure: Black wave 5

Position: Red wave 1                                      

Direction next lower degrees: Red wave 2                                          

Details: Black wave 4 looking completed. Now black wave 5 of 1 is in play.

Wave cancel invalid level: 7495.3  

The S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave analysis on the daily chart focuses on identifying and following the market trend. The analysis highlights an impulsive mode, indicating that the market is currently in a strong directional movement. Impulsive waves are characterized by five-wave structures that move in the direction of the larger trend.

The current structure under examination is black wave five, suggesting that the market is in the fifth and final wave of an impulsive sequence. The position within this structure is identified as red wave one, indicating the beginning phase of a new wave cycle within the larger trend.

The analysis further outlines the direction for the next lower degrees as red wave two. This implies that after the completion of the current impulsive phase (black wave five), the market is expected to enter a corrective phase, typically a three-wave structure, retracing part of the impulsive move.

Detailed examination indicates that black wave four appears to be completed. Consequently, the market is now engaged in black wave five of red wave one. This final wave of the impulsive sequence suggests a continuation of the current trend until the wave completes.

An important aspect of the analysis is the wave cancel invalid level, set at 7491.6. If the market surpasses this level, the current wave count would be invalidated, requiring a reassessment of the wave structure and potentially indicating a change in market behavior.

In summary, the S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave analysis on the daily chart identifies a trending and impulsive market phase within black wave five. Currently, the market is in the initial stages of red wave one, with expectations of transitioning to red wave two following the completion of the current wave. The analysis provides a crucial invalidation level to monitor, guiding traders on potential trend continuation and correction phases.

Chart

S&P/ASX 200  Elliott Wave technical analysis weekly chart

Function: Trend                                              

Mode: Impulsive                                          

Structure: Black wave 5

Position: Red wave 1                                      

Direction next lower degrees: Red wave 2                                          

Details: Black wave 4 looking completed. Now black wave 5 of 1 is in play.

Wave cancel invalid level: 6748.2

The S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave analysis on the weekly chart provides a detailed examination of the market's trend dynamics. The analysis identifies the function as following a trend, indicating that the market is currently experiencing a strong directional movement.

The mode of the trend is described as impulsive, which is characterized by five-wave structures moving in the direction of the larger trend. The current wave structure being analyzed is black wave five, suggesting that the market is in the final phase of an impulsive sequence. This phase typically culminates the larger trend before a corrective phase begins.

The specific position within this wave structure is identified as red wave one. This denotes the initial phase of a new wave cycle within the larger impulsive sequence. Following this, the analysis indicates the next lower degrees direction as red wave two, implying that after the completion of the current impulsive phase, the market is expected to enter a corrective phase. This phase typically involves a three-wave structure that retraces a portion of the previous impulsive move.

The analysis provides detailed observations that black wave four appears to be completed. As a result, the market is currently engaged in black wave five of red wave one. This indicates that the market is in the final push of the current impulsive phase, which will likely be followed by a corrective phase.

An important component of the analysis is the wave cancel invalid level, set at 6748.2. This level serves as a critical threshold. If the market exceeds this level, the current wave count would be invalidated, necessitating a reassessment of the wave structure and potentially signaling a shift in market behavior.

In summary, the S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave analysis on the weekly chart indicates that the market is in the final phase of an impulsive trend, specifically black wave five. Currently, the market is in the early stages of red wave one, with an expectation of transitioning to red wave

two after the completion of the current wave. The analysis highlights a key invalidation level to monitor, guiding traders on potential trend continuation and corrective phases.

Chart

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to two-week highs beyond 1.1900

EUR/USD is keeping its foot on the gas at the start of the week, reclaiming the 1.1900 barrier and above on Monday. The US Dollar remains on the back foot, with traders reluctant to step in ahead of Wednesday’s key January jobs report, allowing the pair to extend its upward grind for now.

GBP/USD hits three-day peaks, targets 1.3700

GBP/USD is clocking decent gains at the start of the week, advancing to three-day highs near 1.3670 and building on Friday’s solid performance. The better tone in the British Pound comes on the back of the intense sekk-off in the Greenback and despite re-emerging signs of a fresh government crisis in the UK.

Gold treads water around $5,000

Gold is trading in an inconclusive fashion around the key $5,000 mark on Monday week. Support is coming from fresh signs of further buying from the PBoC, while expectations that the Fed could turn more dovish, alongside concerns over its independence, keep the demand for the precious metal running.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin steadies around $70,000, Ethereum and XRP remain under pressure 

Bitcoin hovers around $70,000, up near 15% from last week's low of $60,000 despite low retail demand. Ethereum delicately holds $2,000 support as weak technicals weigh amid declining futures Open Interest. XRP seeks support above $1.40 after facing rejection at $1.54 during the previous week's sharp rebound.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.