S&P 500 Elliott Wave analysis: Key stock indices poised for movement before Fed meeting

Peter Mathers TradingLounge

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, DAX 40, FTSE 100, ASX 200 – Featuring Elliott Wave technical analysis

Our latest analysis focuses on the key global stock market indices, including the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, RUSSELL 2000, DAX 40, FTSE 100, and ASX 200, through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. This approach provides insights into market trends, helping traders identify potential setups for both entry and exit points across these major markets.

Elliott Wave analysis for major indices

As we approach the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting in just six days, all eyes are on the U.S. economy. The upcoming PPI (Producer Price Index) figures represent the final significant economic data point that the Federal Reserve will consider before making its next rate decision. The market's reaction to this data could set the tone for how the major indices move in the short term.

At present, I am analyzing two possible wave counts for the indices:
1. Wave (2) Low in Place: This scenario suggests that the corrective wave has completed, and the market is now poised to rally higher.
2. Wave (2) Not Yet Complete: Alternatively, there is still room for further downside before Wave (2) concludes.

Currently, I lean toward the bullish scenario, as the price action in leading stocks like Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT) suggests underlying strength in the broader market. However, I remain flexible in my outlook, awaiting further confirmation from key market movements and the PPI data to finalize this wave structure.

Video chapters

00:00 SP 500 (SPX).

08:17 NASDAQ (NDX).

11:54 Russell 2000 (RUT) IWM ETF.

13:03 DAX 40 (DAX).

16:13 FTSE 100 UKX (UK100).

17:23 S&P/ASX 200 (XJO).

22:39 End.

Author

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.