Soft US ECI data could fuel disinflation narrative and soften the Dollar – ING


Today's highlight will be the US Employment Cost Index data. A soft number could hit the Dollar, economists at ING report.

DXY could head back to Thursday's low near 100.50

A soft ECI number can wipe out the final 8 bps that is priced for the US tightening cycle this year and will probably knock the Dollar 0.5-1.0% lower. This would be a good story for risk assets, where both the Fed and seemingly the ECB would be closer to ending tightening cycles. 

If we are right with our call on the ECI, DXY could head back to Thursday's low near 100.50.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD extends gains above 0.6650 on softer US PCE data

AUD/USD extends gains above 0.6650 on softer US PCE data

The AUD/USD pair trades on a stronger note near 0.6675 during the early Asian session on Monday. The growing speculation that the US Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in 2024 weighs on the Greenback across the board. 

AUD/USD News

USD/JPY trades with positive bias near 161.00, just below its highest level since 1986

USD/JPY trades with positive bias near 161.00, just below its highest level since 1986

USD/JPY stands tall near a multi-decade high amid the big US-Japan rate differential. Intervention fears might hold back bulls from placing fresh bets around the major. Traders now look forward to the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for short-term impetus.

USD/JPY News

Gold attracts some sellers below $2,350 ahead of US PMI data

Gold attracts some sellers below $2,350 ahead of US PMI data

Gold price edges lower to $2,325 on Monday during the early Asian trading hours. The precious metal loses ground amid a continuation of the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance. Investors will keep an eye on the US June ISM PMI, which is expected to improve to 49.0 in June from 48.7 in May.  

Gold News

Layer 1 tokens that are likely dead coins, fail to recover this cycle: XTZ, IOTA, KLAY, ALGO, EOS

Layer 1 tokens that are likely dead coins, fail to recover this cycle: XTZ, IOTA, KLAY, ALGO, EOS

The cryptocurrency market is cyclical in nature and several Layer 1 tokens have noted a decline in their prices, as new narratives like Artificial Intelligence (AI) and meme coins dominate in 2024. 

Read more

French election: The far-right wins, but there’s a big test to come

French election: The far-right wins, but there’s a big test to come

The initial reaction to the first round of voting in the French Parliamentary election that took place on Sunday has been a small sigh of relief. EUR/USD has opened higher, and is up some 20 pips. Although Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party won the largest vote share, it was still short of an overall majority.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures