|

Singapore: Manufacturing outlook remains weak – UOB

Senior Economist Alvin Liew at UOB Group assesses the latest results from Industrial Production in Singapore.

Key Takeaways

“Singapore’s industrial production (IP) contracted more than forecast in Apr, affirming the weak manufacturing outlook. IP contracted by -1.9% m/m, -6.9% y/y in Apr, worse than Bloomberg’s median forecast of +0.1% m/m, -4.5% y/y and our forecasts of -0.7% m/m SA, -3.9% y/y. Meanwhile, the March IP was revised higher to 9.7% m/m, -3.8% y/y (versus the prelim estimates of 9.3% m/m SA, -4.2% y/y in Mar.  This was the seventh consecutive month of y/y decline and the worst streak since 2015 (11 months of y/y declines). Excluding the volatile biomedical manufacturing, IP actually rose by 2.2% m/m (from +5.4% m/m in Mar) which translated to a smaller contraction of -6.1% y/y in Apr (from -5.6% y/y in Mar).”

“IP Outlook – While we are heartened by the continued growth in the transport engineering components of aerospace and marine & offshore, the latest Apr IP print continues to affirm our downbeat manufacturing outlook due to the worsening electronics downcycle and weaker external demand. We maintain our forecast for Singapore 2023 manufacturing to contract by 5.4%.’

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key US data releases and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.