|

Singapore: Healthy performance of PMIs in October – UOB

Senior Economist at UOB Group Alvin Liew and Associate Economist Jester Koh comment on the latest PMI releases in Singapore.

Key Takeaways

Singapore’s manufacturing prospects improved further as the latest Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) edged up 0.1pt to 50.2 in Oct (Sep: 50.1), the second consecutive expansionary (above 50) reading. Similarly, the electronics PMI rose 0.1pt to 49.9 in Oct (Sep: 49.8), which marks the fourth consecutive month of improvement, although still mildly contractionary (below 50). 

The improvement in Oct’s overall PMI was broad-based, new exports (50.2 from 50.0) saw the strongest increase, while other key subindices saw a milder 0.1pt uptick, in particular, production (50.3 from 50.2), employment (50.2 from 50.1) and order backlog (50.5 from 50.4) which is positive for the outlook. 

Singapore Manufacturing Outlook – While we are heartened by the broadbased improvement in Oct’s overall PMI, we caution that the manufacturing sector could remain downbeat in the near term given the weak external demand, likely for the rest of 2023 and into early 2024. Headwinds in the manufacturing sector could persist on tight financial conditions stemming from an elevated interest rate environment.  

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines near 1.1800 as traders brace for US PPI release

The EUR/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.1800 during the early Asian session on Friday. The pair steadies as softer Eurozone inflation offsets US tariff uncertainties. Traders await the preliminary reading of the Consumer Price Index from Germany on Friday for more clues about the pace of future policy easing. On the US front, the Producer Price Index report will be released. 

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold remains below $5,200 despite tariff jitters and geopolitical risks

Gold is seen consolidating in a range below the $5,200 mark during the Asian session on Friday amid mixed cues. Trade jitters, along with the risk of a potential US-Iran war, act as a tailwind for the safe-haven bullion. Meanwhile, the Fed's hawkish outlook keeps the US Dollar close to the monthly high and caps the non-yielding yellow metal. Nevertheless, the commodity remains on track to register gains for the fourth straight week, though the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for bullish traders.

How AI, blockchain, stablecoins are shaping a new global economy – Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire

Artificial Intelligence (AI), blockchain technology and stablecoins are emerging as core pillars of a new global economic system, according to Circle’s CEO, Jeremy Allaire.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.