|

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD turns volatile as investors assess the US NFP report

  • Silver price delivers a volatile action as investors carefully examine the US NFP report.
  •  The US Dollar dropped as investors hoped that slower wage growth would ease the consumer spending momentum.
  • Silver price faces some selling pressure in its upside journey toward the horizontal resistance plotted around $25.27.

Silver price (XAG/USD) demonstrates a volatile action above $24.50 as investors carefully examine the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that fresh payrolls were 187K, outperformed estimates of 170K, and downwardly revised July’s reading of 157K.

The Unemployment Rate rose sharply to 3.8% vs. estimates and the former print of 3.5%. Monthly Average Hourly Earnings grew at a slower pace of 0.2% while investors anticipated a 0.3% pace in wage growth. In July, the labor cost index gained at a 0.4% pace. The annual Average Hourly Earnings decelerated nominally to 4.3% against the estimates and the former release of 4.4%.

Slower wage growth might offset the impact of higher-than-anticipated fresh payrolls, which would allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the interest rate policy unchanged on September 20. Meanwhile, investors still await the US ISM manufacturing PMI, which will be released at 14:00 GMT.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) drops marginally to near 103.40 as investors hope that slower wage growth will ease the consumer spending momentum and bring inflation under control. Also, 10-year US Treasury yields dropped to near 4.10%.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price faces some selling pressure in its upside journey toward the horizontal resistance plotted from the July 20 high around $25.27 on a two-hour scale. Upward-sloping 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) continues to provide support to the Silver bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) drops into the 40.00-60.00 range from the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the upside momentum has faded.

Silver two-hour chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price24.54
Today Daily Change0.13
Today Daily Change %0.53
Today daily open24.41
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.4
Daily SMA5023.65
Daily SMA10023.95
Daily SMA20023.42
 
Levels
Previous Daily High24.68
Previous Daily Low24.37
Previous Weekly High24.38
Previous Weekly Low22.67
Previous Monthly High25.02
Previous Monthly Low22.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%24.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%24.56
Daily Pivot Point S124.29
Daily Pivot Point S224.18
Daily Pivot Point S323.98
Daily Pivot Point R124.6
Daily Pivot Point R224.8
Daily Pivot Point R324.91

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD declines toward 1.1700 on solid USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. A solid comeback staged by the US Dollar weighs heavily on the pair, as traders look to USD short covering ahead of US CPI on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD slides toward 1.3300 after softer-than-expected UK inflation data

GBP/USD has come under intense selling pressure, eyeing 1.3300 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board. 

Gold clings to modest gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps ithe pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend correction as bearish momentum builds

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure as the broader market continues its corrective phase into midweek. The weak price action of these top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization suggests a deeper correction, as momentum indicators are beginning to tilt bearish.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.