Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD seems vulnerable near $30.00, ascending channel breakdown in play


  • Silver trades with a negative bias above a nearly two-week low touched on Monday.
  • The technical setup favors bearish trades and supports prospects for deeper losses.
  • A sustained move beyond the 100-day SMA is needed to negate the negative bias.

Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from the $29.70 area, or a nearly two-week low and ticks lower during the Asian session on Tuesday. The white metal currently trades just above the $30.00 psychological mark, down 0.20% for the day and seems vulnerable to slide further. 

Last week's failure near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a subsequent breakdown below a short-term ascending trend-channel favor bearish traders. Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart – though have been losing traction – are yet to confirm a negative outlook. This, in turn, makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through selling below the overnight swing low, around the $29.70 zone before positioning for deeper losses. 

The XAG/USD might then weaken further below mid-$29.00s and test the next relevant support near the $29.10-$29.00 area. The downward trajectory could extend further towards the $28.75-$28.70 region, or a multi-month low touched in December, before the white metal slides further towards the $28.00 round-figure mark. 

On the flip side, the ascending channel breakpoint, around the $30.30 area, now seems to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the $30.50-$30.60 region. Any further move up might continue to face stiff resistance and remain capped near the $31.00 mark, or the 100-day SMA. The latter should act as a key pivotal point, which if cleared decisively might shift the near-term bias in favor of bullish traders and pave the way for a further appreciating move.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Pepperstone
Sponsor
Account
8.2
Tools
8.2
Service
7.4
Trading
9
Trust
8.8
Experience
9
Read Review
Account
7.2
Tools
9.2
Service
9.6
Trading
8.4
Trust
7
Experience
8.4
Read Review
Account
7.4
Tools
6.6
Service
8
Trading
6.6
Trust
5.2
Experience
9.2
Read Review
Pepperstone
Sponsor
Account
8.2
Tools
8.2
Service
7.4
Trading
9
Trust
8.8
Experience
9
Read Review
Account
7.2
Tools
9.2
Service
9.6
Trading
8.4
Trust
7
Experience
8.4
Read Review
Account
7.4
Tools
6.6
Service
8
Trading
6.6
Trust
5.2
Experience
9.2
Read Review

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD holds below 0.6400 amid signs of easing US-China tensions

AUD/USD holds below 0.6400 amid signs of easing US-China tensions

The AUD/USD pair trades in negative territory near 0.6390 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Aussie amid signs of easing US-China tensions. China will hold a press conference about policies and measures on stabilizing employment and ensuring stable growth on Monday, which will be closely watched by traders.

AUD/USD News
USD/JPY holds steady above mid-143.00s amid Trump's uncertainty

USD/JPY holds steady above mid-143.00s amid Trump's uncertainty

USD/JPY kicks off the week on a subdued note and consolidates above mid-143.00s amid mixed cues. Investors push back expectations for an immediate BoJ rate hike amid rising economic risks from US tariffs, which acts as a headwind for the JPY and lends support to the pair amid a modest USD uptick. 

USD/JPY News
Gold edges lower to near $3,300 as US-China trade tensions ease

Gold edges lower to near $3,300 as US-China trade tensions ease

Gold price loses ground to near $3,310 in Monday’s early Asian session, down 0.30% on the day. De-escalating trade tensions between the US and China underpins the Gold price. The fears of the US recession might help limit the Gold’s losses. 

Gold News
Week ahead: US GDP, inflation and jobs in focus amid tariff mess

Week ahead: US GDP, inflation and jobs in focus amid tariff mess

Barrage of US data to shed light on US economy as tariff war heats up. GDP, PCE inflation and nonfarm payrolls reports to headline the week. Bank of Japan to hold rates but may downgrade growth outlook. Eurozone and Australian CPI also on the agenda, Canadians go to the polls.

Read more
Week ahead: US GDP, inflation and jobs in focus amid tariff mess – BoJ meets

Week ahead: US GDP, inflation and jobs in focus amid tariff mess – BoJ meets

Barrage of US data to shed light on US economy as tariff war heats up. GDP, PCE inflation and nonfarm payrolls reports to headline the week. Bank of Japan to hold rates but may downgrade growth outlook. Eurozone and Australian CPI also on the agenda, Canadians go to the polls.

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025