Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls over 1.80% on profit-taking, risk aversion
- Silver hits two-week low of $31.29 before bouncing above $31.50.
- RSI signals bearish momentum, with key support at 100-day SMA of $31.20.
- Upside potential if XAG/USD reclaims $32.00, targeting $32.48 and $33.00.
Silver prices plunged on Tuesday more than 1.80%, which witnessed the grey metal printing a daily peak of $32.48, before sliding below the $32.00 figure due to risk aversion and traders booking profits amidst uncertainty about US trade policies. The XAG/USD trades at $31.73 unchanged as Wednesday’s Asian session commences.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Despite printing a two-week low of $31.29, XAG/USD bounced near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $31.20, which if broken, would clear the path for bears to drive Silver prices toward the $30 handle. However, bulls emerged and drove the precious metal above $31.50, keeping them hopeful of re-testing the $32.00 figure.
Momentum shifted bearish as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) standing below 50, an indication that sellers are in charge. Therefore, further downside is seen.
On the other hand, if Silver climbs above $32.00, bulls can push prices towards February 25 high of $32.48. If cleared, they would remain in charge, poised to challenge $33.00.
XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.
