- Silver trades below 50-day SMA at $31.37; $30.84 support is key for preventing deeper pullback.
- Bearish momentum persists with RSI in seller’s territory, favoring near-term downside.
- A close above $31.50 needed for bullish recovery, targeting $31.75 and potentially $32.00.
Silver retreated from two-day highs of $32.00 and tumbled below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $31.37 late in the North American session. This was weighed down by a strong US Dollar underpinned by former President Donald Trump’s victory. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $31.29, down 2.29%.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Silver's price uptrend remains in play despite posting solid losses. The fall of US Treasury yields kept the grey metal from falling further, but a decisive break below the November 6 low of $30.84 could exacerbate a deeper pullback. In that outcome, the next support would be the 100-day SMA at $30.27, followed by the September 5 high turned support at $29.17.
For a bullish resumption, the XAG/USD must close above the $31.50 area. This could pave the way to challenge the July 11 high at $31.75. A breach of the latter will expose $32.00, followed by May’s 20 peak at $32.51.
Momentum is bearish in the near term, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), breaching its neutral line into the seller's area.
XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays offered but reclaims the 1.0200 hurdle
Following an earlier pullback to new cycle lows in the 1.0180-1.0175 band, EUR/USD now manages to regain some upside traction and reclaim the area beyond 1.0200 the figure despite the persistent move higher in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess Friday's US NFP and the prospect of just one rate hike by the Fed this year.
GBP/USD rebounds from lows in the sub-1.2100 area
After bottoming out just below the 1.2100 support, GBP/USD now regains some composure and attempt a modest rebound, although the British pound is expected to remain under pressure following the UK fiscal scenario and higher gilts.
Gold holds above $2,660 with a soft tone
Prices of Gold trade on the defensive and reverse four consecutive daily pullbacks in response to extra improvement in the US Dollar as well as investors' reassessement of just one (or none at all) interest rate cut by the Fed for the current year, particularly following Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls prints.
Five Fundamentals for the Week: US inflation, UK bond rout and Donald Trump set to rock markets Premium
Are British bonds the "canary in the coal mine?" The sell-off in the UK bond market and potentially higher interest rates in the US put investors on edge. Several critical releases – and comments from President-elect Donald Trump – are set to cause high volatility.
Bitcoin falls below $92,000 as exchanges show overheating conditions
Bitcoin (BTC) continues its ongoing correction, falling below $92,000 on Monday after declining almost 4% last week. CryptoQuant data shows that BTC is overheating in exchanges and suggests further decline ahead.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.