Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD sticks to gains above one-month low, not out of the woods yet


  • Silver attracts some buying and recovers a part of the overnight slide to a one-month low.
  • The recent breakdown below important technical support levels favours bearish traders.
  • Any subsequent recovery might now be seen as a selling opportunity and remain capped.

Silver gains some positive traction on Wednesday and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak to a one-month low, around the $22.65 region touched the previous day. The white metal maintains its bid tone around the $22.80-$22.85 zone through the early part of the European session, though the near-term technical setup suggests that the path of least resistance is to the downside.

Against the backdrop of this week's breakdown below an ascending trend-line extending from the June swing low, a subsequent slide and acceptance below the very important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) was seen as a fresh trigger for bears. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are holding in the negative territory and are still far from being in the oversold zone. This, in turn, validates the near-term bearish outlook for the XAG/USD and supports prospects for the emergence of fresh selling at higher levels.

Hence, any further recovery beyond the $23.00 round-figure mark is likely to remain capped near the 200-day SMA breakpoint, currently pegged around the $23.25 region. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if cleared decisively might trigger a short-covering move and lift the XAG/USD towards the $23.60-$23.65 horizontal barrier. The momentum could get extended further towards reclaiming the $24.00 mark.

On the flip side, the overnight swing low, around the $22.65 region might protect the immediate downside. The XAG/USD, however, still seems vulnerable to slide back towards retesting the multi-month low, around the $22.15-$22.10 area touched in June. Some follow-through selling below the $22.00 mark should pave the way for an extension of the recent downfall witnessed over the past three weeks or so, from the $25.25 area.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 22.85
Today Daily Change 0.07
Today Daily Change % 0.31
Today daily open 22.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 24.33
Daily SMA50 23.72
Daily SMA100 24.06
Daily SMA200 23.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 23.19
Previous Daily Low 22.67
Previous Weekly High 24.84
Previous Weekly Low 23.23
Previous Monthly High 25.27
Previous Monthly Low 22.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 22.87
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 22.99
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.57
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.36
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.04
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.09
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.4
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.61

 

 

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