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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD slips despite weakening USD, falling US bond yields

  • Silver price slides from a daily high of nearly $26.00, down nearly 1%.
  • Disinflationary trends in the US economy persist, but core readings hold at 5.5% YoY.
  • XAG/USD technical outlook suggests the potential for further decline, testing key support levels.

Silver price slides after hitting a daily high of $25.91, following the release of US inflation figures continued to show that the economy is in a disinflationary process. Nevertheless, core readings are clinging to the 5.5% YoY barrier, which could warrant further tightening by the Fed. The XAG/USD is trading at around $25.30s, surprisingly down almost 1%, even though the US T-bond yields and the US Dollar (USD) remained down.

XAG/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The XAG/USD daily chart suggests that sellers are gathering momentum, even though the uptrend remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator flashes the previously mentioned, with the RSI edging towards its neutral level, while the 3-day Rate of Change (RoC) registers volatility in negative readings.

If XAG/USD continued to trend lower would test the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $25.17. In a decisive break, XAG/USD sellers will target the $25.00 figure, followed by the confluence of the 15-day upslope trendline and the February 2 high, turning support at around $24.60/70. A breach of the latter, XAG would slide toward the confluence of a five-month-old previous resistance trendline now support and the 50-day EMA at 24.29/40.

Conversely, the XAG/USD could resume its uptrend once buyers step in and reclaim the May 9 daily low of $25.33. In that outcome, the first resistance would be the May 9 high of $25.67, followed by the $26.00 figure.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

XAG/USD Daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price25.35
Today Daily Change-0.26
Today Daily Change %-1.02
Today daily open25.61
 
Trends
Daily SMA2025.33
Daily SMA5023.66
Daily SMA10023.37
Daily SMA20021.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.68
Previous Daily Low25.33
Previous Weekly High26.14
Previous Weekly Low24.58
Previous Monthly High26.09
Previous Monthly Low23.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%25.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%25.46
Daily Pivot Point S125.4
Daily Pivot Point S225.19
Daily Pivot Point S325.05
Daily Pivot Point R125.75
Daily Pivot Point R225.89
Daily Pivot Point R326.1

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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