Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD seems vulnerable, break below $25.00 mark awaited


  • Silver attracted some buying near the $25.00 mark, though struggled to register any strong recovery.
  • The set-up remains tilted in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for additional losses.
  • A sustained move beyond the overnight swing highs is needed to negate the near-term negative bias.

Silver found some support near the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the $24.50-$26.00 positive move and edged higher from the vicinity of the key $25.00 psychological mark. The uptick, however, lacked any strong follow-through buying and the commodity, so far, has struggled to register any meaningful recovery.

From a technical perspective, the overnight sustained break below the 200-hour SMA and the 50% Fibo. level was seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. This further seems to have set the stage for an extension of this week's rejection slide from the $26.00 mark, or multi-week tops touched on Tuesday.

The outlook is reinforced by the fact that technical indicators on hourly/daily charts, which have been gaining negative traction and are still far from the oversold zone. However, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through selling below the $25.00 mark before placing fresh bearish bets.

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the slide back towards July monthly swing lows, around mid-$24.00s. The downward trajectory could further get extended and drag the white metal back towards the $24.00 mark before bears aim to challenge YTD lows, around the $23.80-75 region touched in March.

On the flip side, the 50% Fibo. level, around the $25.25 region, now seems to act as an immediate resistance ahead of 200-hour SMA. A sustained move beyond might trigger a short-covering move and push the XAG/USD back towards the overnight swing highs, around mid-$25.00s.

Silver 1-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 25.14
Today Daily Change -0.02
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 25.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 25.49
Daily SMA50 26.31
Daily SMA100 26.28
Daily SMA200 25.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 25.51
Previous Daily Low 25.08
Previous Weekly High 25.8
Previous Weekly Low 24.5
Previous Monthly High 26.78
Previous Monthly Low 24.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 25.25
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 25.35
Daily Pivot Point S1 24.99
Daily Pivot Point S2 24.83
Daily Pivot Point S3 24.57
Daily Pivot Point R1 25.42
Daily Pivot Point R2 25.68
Daily Pivot Point R3 25.84

 

 

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