Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD seems vulnerable, ascending trend-line breakdown in play


  • Silver consolidates its recent losses to a near three-week low touched on Wednesday.
  • The technical setup favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further losses.
  • Any attempted recovery could be seen as a selling opportunity and remain capped.

Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to gain any meaningful traction on Thursday and oscillates in a narrow trading band around the $23.00 round-figure mark through the first half of the European session. The white metal, meanwhile, remains close to a three-week low touched on Wednesday and seems vulnerable to prolonging the descending trend witnessed over the past week or so.

From a technical perspective, the overnight breakdown and close below an ascending trend-line extending from the October 2023 low was seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart have been gaining negative traction and validate the near-term negative outlook, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the XAG/USD is to the downside.

Hence, a subsequent slide towards testing the December monthly swing low, around the mid-$22.00s, looks like a distinct possibility. The downward trajectory could get extended further towards the next relevant support near the $22.25 region en route to the $22.00 round-figure mark.

On the flip side, the ascending trend-line support breakpoint, around the $23.30-$23.35 area, now seems to act as an immediate strong barrier. Any subsequent move up is likely to attract fresh sellers near the $23.55 zone and remain capped near the $23.80 horizontal barrier. A sustained move beyond might trigger a short-covering rally and lift the XAG/USD beyond the $24.00 mark.

Some follow-through buying will suggest that the recent corrective decline has run its course and lift the XAG/USD further towards the $24.60 area (December 22 high). Bulls might eventually aim back towards reclaiming the $25.00 psychological mark.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 23.01
Today Daily Change -0.01
Today Daily Change % -0.04
Today daily open 23.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 23.79
Daily SMA50 23.66
Daily SMA100 23.31
Daily SMA200 23.67
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 23.73
Previous Daily Low 22.84
Previous Weekly High 24.49
Previous Weekly Low 23.54
Previous Monthly High 25.92
Previous Monthly Low 22.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 23.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 23.39
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.66
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.31
Daily Pivot Point S3 21.78
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.55
Daily Pivot Point R2 24.09
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.44

 

 

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