Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD advances to multi-week top, above 50% Fibo. of August-September fall


  • Silver continues scaling higher on Friday and rallies to a nearly three-week high.
  • A move beyond the 50% Fibo. might have set the stage for a further move up.
  • Any corrective decline is more likely to find support near the $23.30 confluence.

Silver builds on the previous day's solid recovery move from the $22.80 area, or the weekly low, and gains strong follow-through traction on Friday. This marks the third successive day of a positive move, also the fifth in the previous six, and lifts the white metal to a two-and-half-week peak, around the $23.75 region during the early part of the European session.

From a technical perspective, a move beyond the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-September downfall could be seen as a fresh trigger for the XAG/USD bulls. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart have just started moving in the positive territory and support prospects for a further appreciating move. Hence, a subsequent strength towards reclaiming the $24.00 round figure, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibol level, looks like a distinct possibility.

Some follow-through buying will set the stage for an extension of the recent rally from an ascending trend line extending from the June swing low. The XAG/USD might then accelerate the momentum beyond the $24.30-$24.35 intermediate hurdle, towards the $25.00 psychological mark, or the August monthly swing high. The next relevant hurdle is pegged near the July peak, around the $25.25 region, which if cleared decisively should pave the way for additional gains.

On the flip side, any meaningful corrective slide now seems to find decent support near the $23.30 confluence, comprising the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and the 38.2% Fibo. The next relevant support is pegged near the $23.00 round figure, below which the XAG/USD could slide back to retest the $22.30 support, or a nearly one-month low touched last Thursday. A convincing break below will shift the bias in favour of bearish traders.

Silver 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 23.7
Today Daily Change 0.29
Today Daily Change % 1.24
Today daily open 23.41
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 23.54
Daily SMA50 23.69
Daily SMA100 23.65
Daily SMA200 23.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 23.47
Previous Daily Low 22.81
Previous Weekly High 23.29
Previous Weekly Low 22.3
Previous Monthly High 25.02
Previous Monthly Low 22.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 23.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 23.06
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.99
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.57
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.33
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.65
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.89
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.31

 

 

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