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Reuters Poll: Fed to raise rates aggressively in May and June

85 of 102 economists polled by Reuters said that they see the US Federal Reserve hiking the policy rate by 50 basis points (bps) in May and 56 of them noted that they expect another 50 bps in June.

Further details of the survey showed that the probability of a US recession in one year and in two years stands at 25% and 40%, respectively.

Finally, experts see the Consumer Price Index (CPI) averaging 6.8% in 2022; 3.0% in 2023 and 2.5% in 2024.

Market reaction

The US Dollar Index showed no immediate reaction to this headline and was last seen posting small daily losses at 99.72.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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