All but one of the 63 economists polled by Reuters expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike its policy rate by 25 basis points in July.
"A majority of economists in the poll forecast a 50 basis point hike in September, followed by a quarter-point rise in October and December, taking the deposit rate to 0.75%. It is expected to reach 1.50% in the third quarter of next year," Reuters wrote. "Poll medians showed a 45% chance of a recession within a year, much higher than the 34% in the previous poll."
Market reaction
The EUR/USD pair showed no immediate reaction to this article and was last seen posting modestly daily gains near 1.0050.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks

GBP/USD retreats toward 1.3500 as BoE policymakers testify
GBP/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and declines toward 1.3500 in the European session on Tuesday. While testifying before Parliament, BoE Governor Bailey noted that they have not seen inflation surprises and reiterated that they need to approach policy-easing in a gradual and cautious way.

Gold price retains its negative bias as goodish USD rebound overshadows weaker risk tone
Gold price maintains its offered tone below a four-week top touched earlier this Tuesday though it has managed to rebound slightly from the daily low set during the first half of the European session. The intraday slide is sponsored by the emergence of some US Dollar buying, which tends to undermine demand for the commodity.

Crypto Gainers WIF, SPX, HYPE: Meme coins soar with Bitcoin’s recovery to $106K
Crypto market bounces back as Bitcoin (BTC) reclaims the $106,000 level at press time on Tuesday, resulting in a refreshed rally in top meme coins such as Dogwifhat (WIF) and SPX6900 (SPX), and Pepe (PEPE).

AUD/USD turns lower toward 0.6450 after RBA Minues, poor China's PMI
AUD/USD is meeting fresh supply toward 0.6450 in the Asian session on Tuesday as traders digest the RBA Minutes and the unexpected contraction in China's May Caixin Manufacturing PMI. Additionally, a modest US Dollar rebound keeps the pair undermined.

GBP/USD retreats toward 1.3500 as BoE policymakers testify
GBP/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and declines toward 1.3500 in the European session on Tuesday. While testifying before Parliament, BoE Governor Bailey noted that they have not seen inflation surprises and reiterated that they need to approach policy-easing in a gradual and cautious way.