Recent comments from Fed officials on US economy and monetary policy


Cleveland Federal Reserve President and the non-voting member of the rate-setting FOMC Loretta Mester said on February 19:

  • Fed funds rate may need to move “a bit higher” if the economy performs as she expects.
  • The most likely scenario is that the economic growth will slow this year, job growth will slow, and inflation will stay near 2%. 
  • Fed is not far behind or ahead of curve and can gather information on the economy before adjusting rate policy. 
  • I would be comfortable slowing or stopping reinvestment of maturing securities this year.
  • If I was to make the decision on my own, I would favor slowing reinvestment of Fed's maturing securities. 
  • My preference is for Fed to hold primarily treasuries and I would favor shorter term treasuries.
  • The rate increase may be needed later this year.
  • I do not think ending balance sheet trimming would have a material impact on the economy.

New York Fed President John Williams said on February 19 for Reuters:

  • I am comfortable with the interest rates level now and I see no need to raise them again unless growth or inflation shifts to an unexpectedly higher gear.
  • The Fed would continue trimming its bond portfolio well into next year.

San Francisco Federal Reserve President and the non-voting member of the rate-setting FOMC Mary Daly said on February 20:

  • I see more headwinds, including slower global growth, uncertainty, and tighter financial conditions.
  • There's nothing on the radar that says that the US is slipping into the recession.
  • Impact of uncertainty is pretty substantial but it can slow the economy.
  • We are very near a neutral level of rates.
  • The US economy is restraining itself and faces headwinds, so Fed needs patience on rates.
  • Patience on rates is needed until inflation is rising faster.


St. Louis Federal Reserve President and the non-voting member of the rate-setting FOMC James Bullard said on February 21 for CNBC:
Fed is in a good place today.

  • I think rates are a bit tight right now and the December rate hike was a "step too far". 
  • I would like to see inflation numbers improve. 
  • Political factors not involved in FED decisions.
  • Fed is likely near the end of interest rate increases and program to reduce bonds it holds on its balance sheet.
  • Growth is slowing in China and it will continue to slow.
  • China has a long term issue of an aging population.
  • The probability of recession in the US has picked up because the yield curve has nearly inverted.
  • The US economy is slowing although not terribly and it needs productivity growth.

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic and the non-voting members of the rate-setting FOMC said in Dublin on February 21:

  • Fed is close to neutral policy rate right now.
  • The US economy is pretty good, inflation is not much faster.
  • It is imprudent to project policy path given the uncertainty.


 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading

EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading

EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550

GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550

GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.

GBP/USD News
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook

Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook

Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.

Gold News
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit

IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit

In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.

Read more
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures