Pound Sterling surges against US Dollar ahead of US Trump-Harris battle
The Pound Sterling (GBP) performs strongly against its major peers at the start of the week, with investors also focusing on the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy decision, which will be announced on Thursday.
The BoE is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.75%. Out of the nine-member led Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), seven members are expected to vote in favor of a rate reduction, while two are expected to support leaving interest rates unchanged at 5%. BoE external MPC member Catherine Mann is likely to be one of those who would support keeping rates stable. Read more...
GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling struggles to hold above key technical level
After closing the fifth consecutive week in negative territory, GBP/USD opened with a bullish gap and rose toward 1.3000 early Monday.
The broad-based selling pressure surrounding the US Dollar (USD) fuelled GBP/USD's rally at the beginning of the week. The uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the US presidential election seems to be weighing on the USD, especially after betting site PredictIt has placed a 51% odd of a Kamala Harris win on Tuesday, marking the vice president's first lead over Donald Trump since October 9. Read more...
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EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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