|

Oil: Geopolitical risks intensify – ING

Oil prices rose yesterday amid rising tensions in the Middle East, continuing the strength seen at the end of last week, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.

Trump to talk to President Putin about a proposed ceasefire

"ICE Brent settled almost 0.7% higher on the day, moving back above US$71/bbl. Along with US strikes on the Houthis in Yemen, several factors provided support to the market. China unveiled plans to revive consumption, while Chinese retail sales and fixed asset investment growth came in stronger than expected. Output data suggests that domestic apparent oil demand over January and February averaged 14.7m b/d, up 2.4% year on year."

"Middle East tensions escalated once again in recent days with US strikes on the Houthis, while the Houthis retaliated by targeting a US aircraft carrier. The Houthis are backed by Iran, which could lead to a broader escalation, particularly with President Trump saying Iran 'will be held responsible, and suffer the consequences' if the Houthis continue attacks in the Red Sea. Unsurprisingly, the Trump administration is taking a more hawkish stance against Iran, having tightened oil sanctions since taking office."

"Trump is scheduled to talk to President Putin today about a proposed ceasefire. Energy markets will be watching closely for any progress – particularly whether a potential peace deal might include the resumption of some Russian energy flows. This would be more impactful for natural gas rather than oil, given that the scope to increase natural gas flows is much bigger relative to oil."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD steadies near 1.1750 ahead of final Eurozone CPI amid fading USD recovery

The EUR/USD pair steadies around the 1.1750 area during the Asian session on Wednesday, and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's sharp retracement slide from the highest level since September 24. Meanwhile, the fundamental backdrop remains tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the upside.

GBP/USD gains ground above 1.3400 on UK PMI optimism

The GBP/USD pair gains momentum to around 1.3425 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling edges higher against the Greenback on the upbeat UK preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index data. Traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak later on Wednesday. 

Gold advances to near seven-week highs amid US labor market cooling

Gold price extends its upside to near seven-week highs above $4,300 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as the US labor market remains relatively resilient but shows signs of slowing. The mixed US employment report for November reinforces bets of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve and weighs on the US Dollar.

Top Crypto Gainers: SPX6900, Pi Network, Filecoin – Sudden rebound lifts bullish spirit

SPX6900, Pi Network, and Filecoin emerge as top gainers in the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market remains under bearish pressure. The sudden rebound in SPX, PI, and FIL suggests a possible rally, as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator on the 4-hour chart flashes a buy signal. 

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.