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NZD/USD technical analysis: Struggles below 0.63 after weak breakout

  • NZD/USD's sideways breach of key falling trendline lacks conviction. 
  • A break above 0.6330 is needed to confirm a bullish breakout. 

NZD/USD is struggling to gather upside traction, having breached key falling trendline with a sideways move on Wednesday.

The currency pair is currently trading at 0.6289, representing marginal losses on the day, having hit a low of 0.6277 in the early Asian trading hours.

Notably, the pair has been restricted largely to a narrow range of 0.6330-0.6280 since Oct. 7 and has moved out of the trendline sloping downwards from July 22 and Sept. 22 highs. The trendline, however, has been breached with a sideways move and lacks conviction.

Hence, the bulls need to observe caution – more so, as the area near 0.6330 has emerged as a strong resistance over the last four trading days.

The outlook, therefore, would turn bullish if and when the pair finds acceptance above 0.6330. That may not happen on Thursday, courtesy of reports stating a US-China trade-talk fallout and the resulting risk aversion. As of writing, the futures on the S&P 500 are reporting a 0.78% drop.

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish above 0.6630

Technical levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6289
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open0.6292
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6306
Daily SMA500.6373
Daily SMA1000.65
Daily SMA2000.6628
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6325
Previous Daily Low0.6288
Previous Weekly High0.6338
Previous Weekly Low0.6204
Previous Monthly High0.6452
Previous Monthly Low0.6249
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6302
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6311
Daily Pivot Point S10.6278
Daily Pivot Point S20.6264
Daily Pivot Point S30.6241
Daily Pivot Point R10.6316
Daily Pivot Point R20.6339
Daily Pivot Point R30.6353

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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