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NZD/USD technical analysis: Remains vulnerable to retest multi-year lows

  • The NZD/USD pair remained under some selling pressure for the second consecutive session on Monday and has now moved on the verge of breaking below the 0.6400 handle.
  • The pair has been trending lower along a short-term descending trend-channel formation over the past 1-1/2 week or so, which clearly points to a well-established bearish trend.

Meanwhile, negative technical indicators on hourly charts reinforce prospects for a further near-term depreciating move, albeit slightly oversold conditions on the daily chart warrant some caution before placing any aggressive bearish bets.
 
Hence, any follow-through weakness below the mentioned handle is more likely to find decent support near the lower end of the trend-channel – currently near the 0.6380 region – closer to the post-RBNZ multi-year lows touched earlier this month.
 
On the flip side, any attempted recovery might continue to confront fresh supply near the 0.6445-50 region (trend-channel resistance), which if cleared might prompt some near-term short-covering move back towards reclaiming the key 0.6500 psychological mark.

NZD/USD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6414
Today Daily Change-0.0014
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open0.6428
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6552
Daily SMA500.6605
Daily SMA1000.662
Daily SMA2000.6717
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6452
Previous Daily Low0.6422
Previous Weekly High0.6475
Previous Weekly Low0.6421
Previous Monthly High0.6792
Previous Monthly Low0.6543
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6433
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.644
Daily Pivot Point S10.6416
Daily Pivot Point S20.6404
Daily Pivot Point S30.6387
Daily Pivot Point R10.6446
Daily Pivot Point R20.6463
Daily Pivot Point R30.6475

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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