NZD/USD skids below 0.6620 on progressive rate hike expectations by the Fed


  • NZD/USD tumbles below 0.6620 on souring market mood.
  • Lower-than-expected inflation in NZ has brought an intense sell-off in the asset.
  • The DXY has printed a fresh high at 100.33 on rising odds of Fed’s rate hike.

The NZD/USD pair has slipped below last week’s low at 0.6626 after carry-forwarding the weakness observed on Friday. The asset has recorded a sheer downside from the last two trading sessions after failing to sustain above the round level resistance of 0.6780 on multiple attempts. Risk-off market mood has dampened the demand for the risk-perceived assets, and considering the price action, a downward trending move is likely to drag the asset to near yearly lows at 0.6529.

The kiwi has been underperforming against the greenback since the release of the NZ Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday. The yearly NZ CPI landed at 6.9% against the expectation of 7.1% and the previous print of 5.9%. Lower-than-expected inflation print pressured the kiwi but not lowered the odds of more rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr mentioned in his last monetary policy statement that inflation is soaring high and interest rate elevation is the only measure to reduce inflation risks. Therefore, RBNZ policymakers will stick to its hawkish guidance and bring inflation below the targeted rate of 2% sooner.

Meanwhile, higher odds of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) are pushing the US dollar index (DXY) toward the north. The DXY is comfortably auctioning above 101.00 and is expected to advance gains as investors are expecting higher Durable Goods Order this week. The monthly Durable Goods Orders are likely to land at 1% against the prior print of -2.1%. Also, investors will shed themselves behind the greenback to combat uncertainty ahead of the Fed’s monetary policy announcement in May.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6619
Today Daily Change -0.0031
Today Daily Change % -0.47
Today daily open 0.665
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6849
Daily SMA50 0.682
Daily SMA100 0.6782
Daily SMA200 0.6897
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6762
Previous Daily Low 0.6625
Previous Weekly High 0.6814
Previous Weekly Low 0.6625
Previous Monthly High 0.6999
Previous Monthly Low 0.6728
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6677
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.671
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6596
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6542
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6459
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6733
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6816
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.687

 

 

 

 

 

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