• The NZD/USD rose above 0.6200 despite the USD holding its foot. 
  • The US reported better-than-expected Confidence and Housing data ahead of the FOMC decision.
  • China’s support package policies announcements boosted the NZD.

On Tuesday, the NZD/USD escalated higher despite the USD trading resilient against most of its partners. Ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve (Fed) decision, the US reported robust data which could limit the pair’s upside. On the Kiwi’s side, the NZD seem to be strengthening on the Chinese announcement of an economic support package that would benefit the Asian block.

Investors assess Confidence and Housing data ahead of FOMC decision

The US reported solid Housing and Consumer Confidence data from July. The Conference Board reported that individuals' confidence in economic activity jumped to 117, above the expected 112 and the previous 109.7. On the other hand, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index dropped but was lower than expected in May, coming falling by 1.7% vs -2.2% expected, while the Federal Housing Agency reported that its Housing Price Index increased by 0.7% in the same month, beating the consensus of 0.2%.

Ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) two-day meeting, markets await a 25 basis point (bps) hike and data-dependant approach by Chair Powell, as a robust economy and a tight labour market may make the Federal Open Market Committee consider another hike in September. 

In the meantime, the USD DXY Index continued to rise to 101.60 but then retreated towards 101.40, still holding gains while US Treasury yields traded mixed, with the 2-year rate slightly decreased to 4.90%.


NZD/USD Levels to watch

The outlook is tilted to the downside despite the pair tallying a two-day winning strike, according to the daily chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands below its midline while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) prints rising red bars. However, if the bulls manage to hold above the 20 and 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) convergence above 0.6200, more upside may be on the horizon.

Resistance levels: 0.6230, 0.6250, 0.6270.
Support levels: 0.6200, 0.6190 (100-day SMA), 0.6150.

 

NZD/USD Daily chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6219
Today Daily Change 0.0015
Today Daily Change % 0.24
Today daily open 0.6204
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6212
Daily SMA50 0.6169
Daily SMA100 0.6195
Daily SMA200 0.6209
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6216
Previous Daily Low 0.6156
Previous Weekly High 0.637
Previous Weekly Low 0.6163
Previous Monthly High 0.625
Previous Monthly Low 0.599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6193
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6179
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6168
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6132
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6108
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6228
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6252
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6288

 

 

 

 

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