NZD/USD recovers further from multi-year lows, turns positive for the day


  • Dismal NZ macro data exerted some initial downward pressure on the pair.
  • Positive trade-related comments prompt some intraday short-covering move.
  • The upside is likely to remain capped ahead of the prelim US Q2 GDP print.

The NZD/USD pair recovered around 40-pips from multi-year tops set earlier this Thursday and climbed to fresh session tops, around the 0.6345 region in the last hour.
 
The pair extended its recent bearish trajectory and dropped to challenge the 0.6300 round figure mark - the lowest level since September 2015 - in reaction to Thursday's disappointing release of ANZ Business Confidence Index, which reaffirmed expectations of RBNZ rate cut in November.

Boosted by positive trade-related comments

However, extremely oversold conditions helped the pair to find decent support near the mentioned handle, rather prompted some intraday short-covering move. The uptick got an additional boost from upbeat trade-related comments from the Chinese Commerce Ministry spokesman.
 
China showed a willingness to resolve trade issues via a calm attitude, which eventually provided a strong boost to the global risk sentiment - as depicted by a solid up-move across global equity markets - and provided an additional boost to perceived riskier currencies - like the Kiwi.
 
Meanwhile, the US Dollar held on to its modest intraday gains, albeit struggled to gain any strong follow-through traction amid the recent inversion of the US bond yield curve and remained supportive of the pair's goodish intraday recovery move.
 
It, however, remains to be seen if the pair is able to capitalize on the recovery move or the current bounce is still seen as a selling opportunity as the focus now shifts to the US economic docket - highlighting the release of a revised estimate of the US Q2 GDP growth figures.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6347
Today Daily Change 0.0009
Today Daily Change % 0.14
Today daily open 0.6338
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6443
Daily SMA50 0.6579
Daily SMA100 0.659
Daily SMA200 0.67
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6368
Previous Daily Low 0.6326
Previous Weekly High 0.6443
Previous Weekly Low 0.6361
Previous Monthly High 0.6792
Previous Monthly Low 0.6543
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6342
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6352
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.632
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6302
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6278
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6362
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6386
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6404

 

 

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