- NZD/USD cleared part of it previous day’s losses and climbed to 0.6130, 0.90% up on the day.
- Core PCE came in at 4.6% YoY vs. the 4.7% expected in May.
- US bond yields retreated, weakening the US Dollar.
On Friday, following the release of soft Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data from the US, the NZD/USD pair staged a recovery, erasing a portion of its previous day's losses. The pair advanced to 0.6120, marking an increase of 0.80% for the day. Following the data, US bond yields retreated, weakening the US Dollar, but remained in positive territory.
US reported soft PCE figures.
On Friday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Core PCE, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred gauge of inflation in the US, slightly decelerated in May. The figure declined to 4.6% YoY from its previous 4.7% reading, failing to meet the expectations of 4.7% and tallying a 0.3% MoM increase vs the 0.4% expected.
In response US bond yields retreated from daily highs as investors seemed to be betting on a less aggressive Fed. In that sense, the 2-year Bond yield peaked at 4.93%, its highest level since March 9, retreating to 4.85%, while the 5 and 10-year rates fell to 4.13% and 3.83%.
However, more evidence of inflation deceleration must be seen for the Fed to pivot from its hawkish stance. As for now, according to the CME FedWatch tool market is 86% sure of a 25 basis points (bps) hike on July 26 and still trying to figure out when the second hike Jerome Powell hinted will come.
NZD/USD Levels to watch
According to the daily chart, the technical outlook for the NZD/USD got better as the Relative Strength (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) gained traction in negative territory. In addition, traders should eye the convergence of the 200 and 20-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). Moreover, traders should eye the 200, 100 and 20-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) convergence towards the 0.6140-0.6200 area as they seem to be about to perform a bearish cross.
On the downside, support levels to watch align at 0.6100, 0.6050 and at 0.6030 (strong support seen at the beginning of June).
NZD/USD Daily chart
-638237374217696610.png)
.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds steady near 0.6250 ahead of RBA Minutes
The AUD/USD pair trades on a flat note around 0.6250 during the early Asian session on Monday. Traders brace for the Reserve Bank of Australia Minutes released on Monday for some insight into the interest rate outlook.
USD/JPY: Traders set for rocky 2025 on rediverging interest rates, Trump and North Korea
The Federal Reserve remains the primary driver of USD/JPY and may halt its rate-cut cycle in 2025. Bank of Japan officials will probably refrain from bigger rate hikes. Wild-card politics are set to stir this currency pair, reflecting a duel of safe-haven currencies.
Gold: Is another record-setting year in the books in 2025?
Gold benefited from escalating geopolitical tensions and the global shift toward a looser monetary policy environment throughout 2024, setting a new all-time high at $2,790 and rising around 25% for the year.
Week ahead: No festive cheer for the markets after hawkish Fed
US and Japanese data in focus as markets wind down for Christmas. Gold and stocks bruised by Fed, but can the US dollar extend its gains? Risk of volatility amid thin trading and Treasury auctions.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.