- NZD/USD may test the upper boundary of the descending channel near the nine-day EMA at 0.5961 level.
- The nine-day EMA staying below the 14-day EMA indicates persistent weakness in short-term price momentum.
- The pair may navigate the area around the lower boundary of the descending channel at 0.5860 level.
The NZD/USD pair holds ground after registering losses in the previous session, trading around 0.5920 during European hours on Wednesday. The daily chart analysis shows a strong bearish trend, with the NZD/USD pair moving downwards within a descending channel.
The nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) remains below the 14-day EMA, indicating continued weakness in short-term price momentum. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key momentum indicator, is below the 50 mark, reflecting sustained bearish momentum. A further decline toward the 30 level would amplify this downward trend for the NZD/USD pair.
On the downside, the NZD/USD pair may find support around the psychological level of 0.5900. A break below this level could increase selling pressure, pushing the pair toward the lower boundary of the descending channel at 0.5860, with further throwback support at the psychological level of 0.5850.
In terms of resistance, the pair faces an immediate hurdle at the upper boundary of the descending channel near the nine-day EMA at 0.5961, followed by the 14-day EMA at 0.5977. A break above the 14-day EMA would strengthen price momentum, potentially enabling the NZD/USD pair to approach the psychological level of 0.6100.
NZD/USD: Daily Chart
New Zealand Dollar FAQs
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country’s central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand’s biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand’s main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors’ appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.
Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar’s (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called ‘commodity currencies’ such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY remains below 158.00 after Japanese data
Soft US Dollar demand helps the Japanese Yen to trim part of its recent losses, with USD/JPY changing hands around 157.70. Higher than anticipated Tokyo inflation passed unnoticed.
AUD/USD weakens to near 0.6200 amid thin trading
The AUD/USD pair remains on the defensive around 0.6215 during the early Asian session on Friday. The incoming Donald Trump administration is expected to boost growth and lift inflation, supporting the US Dollar (USD). The markets are likely to be quiet ahead of next week’s New Year holiday.
Gold depreciates amid light trading, downside seems limited due to safe-haven demand
Gold edges lower amid thin trading following the Christmas holiday, trading near $2,630 during the Asian session on Friday. However, the safe-haven asset could find upward support as markets anticipate signals regarding the United States economy under the incoming Trump administration and the Fed’s interest rate outlook for 2025.
Floki DAO floats liquidity provisioning for a Floki ETP in Europe
Floki DAO — the organization that manages the memecoin Floki — has proposed allocating a portion of its treasury to an asset manager in a bid to launch an exchange-traded product (ETP) in Europe, allowing institutional investors to gain exposure to the memecoin.
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?
As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.