NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pullback needs validation from 0.5700


  • NZD/USD fades recovery moves from a two-year low.
  • Convergence of previous resistance line, 100-HMA challenges sellers.
  • RSI retreat favor pullback in prices but bullish MACD, 0.5700 breakout keeps buyers hopeful.

NZD/USD retreats to 0.5718 while snapping a two-day uptrend during Thursday’s quiet Asian session. In doing so, the Kiwi pair reverses the previous day’s bounce off the yearly bottom as the RSI (14) eases from the overbought region.

Even so, the quote keeps Wednesday’s upside break of the 0.5700 resistance confluence comprising the 100-HMA and a downward sloping trend line from September 13, now acting as immediate support.

Also adding strength to the 0.5700 support level is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of September 13-28 moves. It should be noted that the bullish MACD signals also keep the NZD/USD buyers hopeful.

That said, the 50-HMA acts as the last defense of the pair buyers around 0.5660, a break of which won’t hesitate to recall the bears targeting the fresh yearly low, currently near 0.5565.

Meanwhile, recovery moves need to cross the latest swing high surrounding 0.5740 to recall the NZD/USD buyers. Following that, the September 22 swing low near 0.5800 will be in focus.

However, the traders can doubt the recovery unless the pair remains below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.5935.

NZD/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Further upside expected

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.5719
Today Daily Change 0.0014
Today Daily Change % 0.25
Today daily open 0.5705
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.597
Daily SMA50 0.6148
Daily SMA100 0.6231
Daily SMA200 0.649
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.5722
Previous Daily Low 0.5624
Previous Weekly High 0.6003
Previous Weekly Low 0.573
Previous Monthly High 0.647
Previous Monthly Low 0.6101
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.5685
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.5662
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5645
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.5585
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5547
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.5744
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.5782
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.5842

 

 

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