NZD/USD Price Analysis: Further upside hinges on 0.6270 breakout


  • NZD/USD seesaws in a choppy range after confirming a bullish chart formation and refreshing two-week high.
  • Convergence of 21-day EMA, 200-day EMA challenges Kiwi pair buyers.
  • Looming bull cross on MACD defends upside bias.

NZD/USD bulls struggle to justify the falling wedge breakout as the key moving averages challenge upside near the mid-0.6200s during early Thursday. However, the impending bull cross on the MACD indicator keeps the Kiwi pair buyers hopeful, especially after the confirmation of the bullish chart pattern the previous day.

The upside break of a one-month-old falling wedge bullish formation failed to cross the convergence of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 21-day EMA, around 0.6270 by the press time.

Should the quote crosses the immediate hurdle, as expected due to the MACD conditions and falling wedge confirmation, the NZD/USD can quickly poke the mid-February swing high surrounding 0.6390.

In a case where the Kiwi buyers keep the reins past 0.6390, as well as cross the 0.6400 threshold, the highs marked in the last December and the previous month, respectively near 0.6515 and 0.6540, could act as buffers during the theoretical run-up targeting 0.6600.

Meanwhile, pullback moves remain less important until the quote stays beyond the aforementioned wedge’s top line, close to 0.6175 at the latest.

It’s worth noting that January’s low of 0.6190 acts as the immediate support for the NZD/USD bears to watch during the fresh fall.

That said, lows marked during November 14 and 17 around 0.6060 appear the key for the pair sellers to track as a break of which won’t hesitate to challenge the 0.6000 psychological magnet.

NZD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.6254
Today Daily Change 0.0073
Today Daily Change % 1.18%
Today daily open 0.6181
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6289
Daily SMA50 0.6341
Daily SMA100 0.6198
Daily SMA200 0.6182
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6208
Previous Daily Low 0.6133
Previous Weekly High 0.6263
Previous Weekly Low 0.6151
Previous Monthly High 0.6538
Previous Monthly Low 0.6131
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6179
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6162
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.614
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6099
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6065
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6215
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6249
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6291

 

 

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