NZD/USD Price Analysis: Eyes further volatility past 0.6400 on megaphone formation


  • NZD/USD picks up bids to consolidate biggest daily losses in 14 months.
  • Megaphone hints at continuation of bearish trend in a wider range, MACD also teases sellers.
  • 100-SMA adds to the upside filters, 0.6385-80 appears a tough nut to crack for sellers.

NZD/USD renews intraday high around 0.6445 while paring the previous day’s heavy losses during Friday’s Asian session.

The kiwi pair dropped to the fresh low since 2020 while posting the biggest daily fall since March 2021. The latest rebound, however, portrays a megaphone chart pattern that suggests further widening of the bearish moves and increased volatility.

That said, NZD/USD prices currently aim for the 0.6500 threshold before challenging the upper line of the aforementioned chart pattern, near 0.6575.

Should the pair buyers manage to cross the 0.6575 hurdle, the 100-SMA level surrounding 0.6615 will act as the last defense for the bears.

On the flip side, a convergence of the megaphone’s lower line and multiple lows marked during late June 2020, around 0.6385-80, becomes strong support to watch during the quote’s downside.

In a case where NZD/USD drops below 0.6380, it becomes vulnerable to testing the late 2019 bottom around 0.6200.

NZD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.6429
Today Daily Change -0.0002
Today Daily Change % -0.03%
Today daily open 0.6431
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6655
Daily SMA50 0.6786
Daily SMA100 0.6757
Daily SMA200 0.6876
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6569
Previous Daily Low 0.6393
Previous Weekly High 0.6646
Previous Weekly Low 0.6451
Previous Monthly High 0.7035
Previous Monthly Low 0.6451
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.646
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6502
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.636
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6288
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6184
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6535
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.664
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6711

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds near 1.0500 ahead of US PMI data

EUR/USD holds near 1.0500 ahead of US PMI data

EUR/USD fluctuates in a narrow channel at around 1.0500 on Monday after EU PMI data came in better than expected. ECB President Lagarde reiterated that they will continue to cut rates if data confirm disinflation is on track. Market focus shifts to US PMI data.

EUR/USD News
Gold clings to mild gains above $2,650 as markets gear up for Fed

Gold clings to mild gains above $2,650 as markets gear up for Fed

Gold opens the week on a moderately positive tone and trades above $2,650, favored by a mild US Dollar (USD) reversal amid lower US Treasury yields. The precious metal, however, is still close to recent lows following a 2.5% sell-off late last week.

Gold News
Bitcoin rises to new all-time of $106,600, then corrects as markets focus on Fed

Bitcoin rises to new all-time of $106,600, then corrects as markets focus on Fed

Bitcoin price retreats on Monday after reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of $106,648 in the early Asian session. The main factor impacting BTC price this week is likely to be the decision of the US Fed on interest rates on Wednesday.

Read more
Five fundamentals for the week: Fed dominates the last full and busy trading week of the year

Five fundamentals for the week: Fed dominates the last full and busy trading week of the year Premium

Christmas is coming – but there's a high likelihood of wild price action before the holiday season begins. Central banks take center stage, and there is enough data to keep traders busy outside these critical decisions. 

Read more
Five fundamentals for the week: Fed dominates the last full and busy trading week of the year

Five fundamentals for the week: Fed dominates the last full and busy trading week of the year Premium

Christmas is coming – but there's a high likelihood of wild price action before the holiday season begins. Central banks take center stage, and there is enough data to keep traders busy outside these critical decisions. 

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures