|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bearish signals emerge as pair plunged after 20-day SMA rejection

  • NZD/USD drops to fresh lows, technical bias bearish
  • RSI below 35, MACD histogram rising red, indicating selling pressure
  • Pair fell back to lows since August.

On Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair declined sharply by 1% to 0.5945, reflecting the strengthening US dollar across the board. This weakness suggests a shift in sentiment, as the New Zealand dollar has been unable to regain the key 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and fell back to lows since August.

The technical outlook for NZD/USD remains bearish, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators. The RSI has remains deep in negative territory, reaching 35, and is declining sharply, suggesting that selling pressure is rising. The histogram of the MACD is red and rising, another sign of increasing selling pressure.

A break below 0.5950 could open the door to a test of 0.5900 and even 0.5850. On the other hand, a breakout above 0.6000 could pave the way for a move towards 0.6050 and 0.6100.

NZD/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).