- NZD/USD continues the downward trajectory for more than a week.
- NZD faces downward pressure as New Zealand's Food Price Index fell 0.9% in October.
- Goldman Sachs anticipates the RBNZ to commence rate cuts starting in the fourth quarter of 2024.
- US inflation could grow but at a slower pace, which could put pressure on the US Dollar.
NZD/USD continues the losing streak that began on November 6, trading lower around 0.5870 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) faces downward pressure, potentially attributed to the Kiwi Food Price Index (FPI) recording a 0.9% (MoM) decline in October.
Given that food prices constitute nearly 19% of the NZ consumer price index, the FPI holds significance as an indicator of inflation in the country. It tracks the prices of a basket of food items representing the typical spending patterns of New Zealand households.
Goldman Sachs is projecting a drop in New Zealand CPI rates to below 3.0% by Q4 2024. The forecast includes an expectation that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) rate hike cycles are now complete, and Goldman Sachs anticipates the RBNZ to initiate rate cuts starting in Q4 of 2024.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) grapples with challenges as it struggles to halt losses, bidding around 105.70. The Greenback could face headwinds from the volatile US bond yields. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond navigates within a short range, standing at 4.63% by the press time.
The market anticipates a rise in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October, but at a slower pace. Simultaneously, the forecast for the core annual rate remains stable. If the actual data aligns with these expectations, it could solidify the market's belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has concluded its interest rate hikes. This, in turn, could reinforce the downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD).
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD retreats to 1.0700 area following post-PCE jump
After spiking to a daily high of 1.0720 with the immediate reaction to US PCE inflation data, EUR/USD lost its traction and declined to the 1.0700 area. Investors remain cautious ahead of this weekend's French election and make it difficult for the Euro to gather strength.
GBP/USD stays below 1.2650 after US inflation data
GBP/USD struggles to preserve its bullish momentum and trades below 1.2650 in the American session on Friday. Earlier in the day, the data from the US showed that the annual core PCE inflation declined to 2.6% in May, limiting the USD's upside and helping the pair hold its ground.
Gold keeps its daily gains near $2,330 following US PCE data
Gold prices maintain their constructive bias around $2,330 after US inflation readings gauged by the PCE matched consensus in May and US yields advance slightly across the curve.
BTC struggles around the $62,000 level
Bitcoin price faces pullback resistance at the lower band of the descending wedge around $62,000. Ethereum price finds support at $3,288, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Ripple price faces resistance at $0.500, its daily resistance level.
French Elections Preview: Euro to suffer after the calm, as specter of extremists, uncertainty rise Premium
The first round of French parliamentary elections is set to trigger high uncertainty. Soothing messages from the far right and far left leave the Euro vulnerable to falls. Calm may return only after the second round of voting on July 7.