|

NZD/USD: Door open to extra decline near term – UOB

In the view of Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group, NZD/USD faces extra weakness in the next few weeks.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: We indicated yesterday that “barring a break above 0.5910, NZD could drop to 0.5840 before stabilisation is likely.” However, NZD traded in a range between 0.5860 and 0.5903. The weakness in NZD does not appear to have stabilised. We continue to hold the view that NZD could drop to 0.5840 before stabilisation is likely. Only a break above 0.5900 (minor resistance is at 0.5885) would mean that the weakness in NZD has stabilised. 

Next 1-3 weeks: Our update from yesterday (06 Sep, spot at 0.5875) still stands. As highlighted, the rapid increase in momentum after the sharp drop on Tuesday is likely to lead to further NZD weakness. That said, it remains to be seen if the major support at 0.5800 is within reach this time around. The downside risk is intact as long as NZD stays below 0.5945 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level from yesterday). 

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold holds steady above $4,300 amid supportive fundamental backdrop

Gold kicks off the new week on a slightly positive note following Friday's late pullback from levels just above mid-$4,300s or the highest since October 21. Bets for two more rate cuts by the US Fed next year continue to act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion. Apart from this, a softer risk tone and geopolitical uncertainties benefit the safe-haven precious metal. However, a modest US Dollar uptick might cap gains ahead of the delayed US NFP report on Tuesday.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.