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NZD/USD climbs back closer to mid-0.6300s amid the emergence of fresh USD selling

  • NZD/USD attracts some dip-buying near 0.6300 on Friday amid a modest USD pullback.
  • A modest recovery in the equity markets further offers support to the risk-sensitive Kiwi.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations, recession risks could limit the USD losses and cap the major.

The NZD/USD pair reverses an intraday dip to the 0.6300 neighbourhood and climbs to a fresh daily high during the early European session on Friday. The pair is currently placed around the 0.6340 region, up over 0.30% for the day, though remains well below the weekly top touched the previous day.

The US Dollar struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday gains and retreats from a one-month high, which, in turn, assists the NZD/USD pair to attract some dip-buying on the last day of the week. The USD pullback could be attributed to a sudden pickup in demand for the Japanese Yen, led by reports that the Japanese government plans to appoint Kazuo Ueda as the next Bank of Japan governor. Apart from this, a modest bounce in the US equity futures further undermines the safe-haven buck and benefits the risk-sensitive Kiwi.

That said, looming recession risks could keep a lid on any optimism in the markets. The market concerns about a deeper global economic downturn are reinforced by the deeply inverted US Treasury yield curve. Apart from this, the prospects for further policy tightening by the Fed should help limit losses for the Greenback and cap gains for the NZD/USD pair, at least for the time being. It is worth mentioning that several FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, stressed the need for additional rate hikes to tame inflation.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before confirming that the NZD/USD pair's recent slide from its highest level since June 2022 has run its course. Traders now look to the Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index from the US, due later during the early North American session. This, along with Fed Governor Christopher Waller's speech, might influence the USD. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment could further contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities around the major.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6334
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open0.6322
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6422
Daily SMA500.6374
Daily SMA1000.6124
Daily SMA2000.6188
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6391
Previous Daily Low0.6303
Previous Weekly High0.6538
Previous Weekly Low0.6322
Previous Monthly High0.6531
Previous Monthly Low0.619
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6357
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6337
Daily Pivot Point S10.6286
Daily Pivot Point S20.6251
Daily Pivot Point S30.6198
Daily Pivot Point R10.6374
Daily Pivot Point R20.6427
Daily Pivot Point R30.6462

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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