NZD/USD Price Analysis: Kiwi suffers as risk-off mode kicks in

NZD/USD has fallen sharply and trades 0.81% lower on Thursday.
The price met some resistance a the 127.2% Fib extensions.

Rajan Dhall, MSTA FX Daily

NZD/USD 4-hour chart

NZD has struggled today as the currency is often correlated with the risk environment. The NZD/USD had been living on borrowed time after the last dovish RNBZ changes not really having a material effect on the NZD at the time. It seems now there has been an additional excuse for a correction.

Looking at the chart, the price found some resistance at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. This is also very close to the blue resistance zone from a previous wave back in December 2019. On the downside, the move stopped at a support level which had been tested four times recently. This was at the psychological 0.67 figure but if it does break the red internal trendline is lying in wait.

The indicators are pretty mixed at the moment. The MACD histogram is in the red but the signal lines are still above the mid-level. The Relative Strength Index is close to the oversold zone but a move back above 50 could indicate the uptrend is back on.

Overall, this is still an uptrend but watch out for a lower high lower low pattern. If the risk environment doesn't improve there could be some more pain to come but tomorrow the market gets the latest NFP figure and this is sure to inspire some volatility.

Additional levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6708
Today Daily Change	-0.0064
Today Daily Change %	-0.95
Today daily open	0.6772

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6613
Daily SMA50	0.6589
Daily SMA100	0.6398
Daily SMA200	0.6383

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.679
Previous Daily Low	0.6741
Previous Weekly High	0.6744
Previous Weekly Low	0.6514
Previous Monthly High	0.6764
Previous Monthly Low	0.6488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6771
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.676
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6745
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6719
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6696
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6794
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6817
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6843

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

FX Daily

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot below 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand and reports that ECB President Lagarde will step down before the end of her term. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts.

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report.

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path.

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.