|

NZD/JPY Price Analysis: A double-bottom in the daily chart targets 80.00

  • The NZD/JPY trims some of its Monday’s gains, down 0.33%.
  • Positive developments on the Covid-19 front increased risk appetite denting the Japanese yen prospects.
  • NZD/JPY Price Forecast: The double-bottom in the daily chart targets 80.00.

The NZD/JPY retreats from monthly tops, trading at 78.05 during the day at press time. Early in the New York session, the market mood was upbeat, propelling the S&P 500 towards 4,800 to all-time highs. However, market conditions changed as the session progressed, with US equities finishing in the red, except for the Dow Jones Industrial.

Since Monday, the market has improved on the back of positive news on the Covid-19 front. Three studies, one in South Africa and two in the UK, showed that people vaccinated with at least two shots and who become infected with the Omicron variant were between 50% to 80% less subject to require hospitalization.

When the news crossed the wires, it was a green light for investors, which bought the dip, pushing equities worldwide to new highs. In the FX market, risk-sensitive peers gained versus the safe-haven status of the Japanese yen, until today, when a risk-off mood caused a dip, which could be viewed as an opportunity of opening fresh bets vs. the Japanese yen.

NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The NZD/JPY daily chart shows a double-bottom formation. Furthermore, at press time, the “neckline” of the chart pattern confluences with the 200-day moving average (DMA) around the 77.96-78.03 range, which NZD bulls are likely to defend as the double-bottom targets 80.00.

To the upside, the NZD/JPY first resistance would be the 100-DMA at 78.32. A breach of the latter paves the way for further upside. The next line of defense for JPY bulls would be the 50-DMA at 79.00, followed by the double-bottom target at 80.00.

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price78.05
Today Daily Change-0.26
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open78.31
 
Trends
Daily SMA2077.14
Daily SMA5079.2
Daily SMA10078.36
Daily SMA20078.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High78.36
Previous Daily Low77.84
Previous Weekly High78.24
Previous Weekly Low76.02
Previous Monthly High82.21
Previous Monthly Low76.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%78.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%78.04
Daily Pivot Point S177.98
Daily Pivot Point S277.64
Daily Pivot Point S377.45
Daily Pivot Point R178.5
Daily Pivot Point R278.69
Daily Pivot Point R379.02

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD risks a deeper drop below 1.1750

EUR/USD keeps its vacillating mood in place as the the NA session drwas to a close on Tuesday, hovering below the 1.1800 hurdle amid acceptable gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, market participants and the FX galaxy are expected to closely follow President Trump’s SOTU speech around 2AM GMT.
 

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Australia CPI to highlight persistent price pressures, backing a hawkish outlook

Australia will release its key set of inflation figures for the month of January on Wednesday, with the Consumer Price Index expected to rise by 3.7%, slightly lower than the 3.8% in the last month of 2025.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.