- NIO shares have fallen nearly 40% from January highs.
- NIO is a heavily favoured retail interest stock.
- NIO shares had a stellar rise in 2020.
Update: Shares in NIO rode the volatile session on Friday as markets whipsawed following the US jobs report. NIO bounced from lows of $31.91 to close Fiday at $38.11 a loss of 2.98% on the day.
NIO is again under the spotlight as shares suffer another day of losses. NIO shares fell 5% on Thursday to close at $39.28.
NIO is a Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer designing, manufacturing and selling smart EV's. NIO is also involved in the autonomous driving sector.
Stay up to speed with hot stocks' news!
NIO Stock Forecast
NIO announced results on Monday after the market closed for Q4 2020. EPS was -$0.16 versus an estimate of -$0.07 according to Refinitiv. Revenue came in slightly ahead of expectations at $1.03 billion versus $1.01 billion. This is a rise of 133% from a year earlier.
Overall NIO had a very good 2020 with revenue more than doubling, deliveries in Q4 were 17,353 versus 8,224 in Q4 2019. Total 2020 vehicle deliveries were 43,728 as against 20,565 in 2019.
For Q1 2021, the Company expects: "Deliveries of the vehicles to be between 20,000 and 20,500 vehicles, representing an increase of approximately 421% to 434% from the same quarter of 2020, and an increase of approximately 15% to 18% from the fourth quarter of 2020.
Total revenues to be between RMB7,382.3 million (US$1,131.4 million) and RMB7,557.2 million (US$1,158.2 million), representing an increase of approximately 438.1% to 450.8% from the same quarter of 2020, and an increase of approximately 11.2% to 13.8% from the fourth quarter of 2020".
On the earnings conference call, NIO said it will enter the European market and has researched entering the US market according to Reuters.
The delivery targets for Q1 2021 disappointed investors who had been hoping for a continued strong pace of growth. Q3 to Q4 2020 delivery growth was over 40%. But battery issues and the well-flagged semiconductor problems were mentioned by CEO William Li on the analyst call.
"For the first half of this year, we would like to be more conservative," "For the second half of this year, we are quite confident about the demand, but we do not have the full visibility yet," he said.
Post these results JP Morgan reduced its price target for NIO from $75 to $70.
NIO Technical analysis
The chart on NIO shows the appreciation in 2020 as the electric vehicle sector appreciated sharply. So are we reaching levels where NIO starts to look attractive again? Well given the speculative froth surrounding markets at present and the EV sector in 2020 a significant pullback was required. In order to contemplate turning bullish NIO needs to form a consolidation pattern around current levels before retaking its 8-day moving average and the downward sloping trendline resistance. A break back above c.$45 is needed to begin to see a change in current bearish sentiment, with $52 resistance beyond that. Otherwise support at $29.32 becomes the next target.
Fundamental changes to the EV sector need to be watched as all auto manufactures move to electric. Volvo announced it will be fully electric by 2030, Ford says it will be fully electric in Europe by 2030. The EV sector is about to become more crowded from legacy automakers.
The author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
This article is for information purposes only. The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. It is important to perform your own research before making any investment and take independent advice from a registered investment advisor.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to accuracy, completeness, or the suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
Errors and omissions excepted.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.0400 ahead of US inflation data
EUR/USD struggles to stage a decisive rebound on Friday and continues to trade below 1.0400. The risk-averse market atmosphere helps the US Dollar hold its ground and limits the pair's upside. Investors await November PCE inflation data from the US.
GBP/USD touches fresh multi-month low below 1.2500
GBP/USD recovers to the 1.2500 area after touching its lowest level since May near 1.2470. The pair stays on the back foot after the Fed and the BoE policy announcements this week pointed to a potentially diverging policy outlook.
Gold price holds above $2,600, supported by souring market mood
Gold clings to modest daily gains above $2,600 on Friday amid the prevalent risk-off mood. Against the backdrop of persistent geopolitical risks and trade war fears, the threat of a US government shutdown drives some haven flows towards the bullion.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.