- Natural Gas Price recovers after posting the biggest daily loss in two weeks.
- Federal Reserve’s rate hike, readiness for September lift weigh on XNG/USD even as US Dollar remains depressed.
- Russian gas output drops 14.9% during January-June period.
- Risk catalysts, US GDP eyed for clear directions of the Natural Gas Price.
Natural Gas Price (XNG/USD) takes clues from Russia to pare the biggest daily loss in a fortnight around $2.70 during early Thursday morning in Asia. In doing so, the XNG/USD also reverses the Federal Reserve (Fed) inflicted losses as the US Dollar lacks upside momentum while market sentiment improves.
As per the latest Russia Natural Gas output data from the Rosstat statistics office, per Reuters, the natural gas output reached 267 billion cubic meters (bcm), down 14.9% from the same period in 2022. The energy update also states that Russia produced 34.6 bcm of natural gas in June, down 11.9% from the same month last year. On the same line, Russian Energy Minister Nikolai Shulginov tells Moscow media TASS that Russian Gas output forecast to decline in 2023 to 657 bcm.
On Wednesday, Federal Reserve (Fed) matched the widely forecasted increase of 25 basis points (bps) to the benchmark Fed rates toward the multi-year high in the range of 5.25%-5.50%. Following the rate decision, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell tried to placate the hawks by showing readiness for a September rate hike as he said, that the June inflation Consumer Price Index was welcomed but “was only one month's report.”
It should be noted that the rejection of recession fears was also an effort to please the US Dollar buyers but failed. However, the commodities failed to cheer the USD’s weakness and rather slumped amid disappointment that the end of the global rate hike trajectory isn’t near.
Apart from the US Dollar weakness and Russia-inspired move, the market’s optimism ahead of the advance readings of the US Q2 GDP Annualized, expected to ease to 1.8% from 2.0%, as well as the Durable Goods Orders for June, likely easing to 1.0% from 1.8% prior (revised), also favor the XNG/USD bulls.
Additionally, a likely easing in the US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Natural Gas Storage Change for the week ended on July 21, from 41B to 23B, also underpins the XNG/USD rebound.
Technical analysis
Repeated failures to cross the three-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $2.78-79 directs the Natural Gas price towards the 21-DMA support of around $2.66.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD extends recovery beyond 1.0400 amid Wall Street's turnaround
EUR/USD extends its recovery beyond 1.0400, helped by the better performance of Wall Street and softer-than-anticipated United States PCE inflation. Profit-taking ahead of the winter holidays also takes its toll.
GBP/USD nears 1.2600 on renewed USD weakness
GBP/USD extends its rebound from multi-month lows and approaches 1.2600. The US Dollar stays on the back foot after softer-than-expected PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher. Nevertheless, GBP/USD remains on track to end the week in negative territory.
Gold rises above $2,620 as US yields edge lower
Gold extends its daily rebound and trades above $2,620 on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield declines toward 4.5% following the PCE inflation data for November, helping XAU/USD stretch higher in the American session.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.