Invesco Commodity Index Fund ($DBC) Elliott Wave structure favors more downside

In this technical blog we are going to take a look at the Elliott Wave path in Invesco Commodity Index Fund ($DBC) and explain why the ETF should see more downside in a ZigZag ABC correction towards a Blue Box area.

The fund pursues its investment objective by investing in a portfolio of exchange-traded futures on Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI), Heating Oil, RBOB Gasoline, Natural Gas, Brent Crude, Gold, Silver, Aluminum, Zinc, Copper Grade A, Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Sugar. The index is composed of notional amounts of each of these commodities.

Five wave impulse structure + ABC correction

$DBC weekly Elliott Wave view – Sep 16, 2024:

The weekly chart above clearly illustrates the cycle that started from the March 2020 low, unfolding as a 5-wave impulse. This structure suggests the beginning of a bullish trend. However, after the rally peaked in June 2022, the market began to correct in a Zig-Zag pattern.

Initially, the first leg down unfolded in a 5-wave structure. Subsequently, a bounce occurred in 3 swings, which corrected the downward movement. Despite this bounce, it failed at wave ((B)), and sellers managed to push the price below wave ((A)), creating a bearish sequence. As a result, sellers are currently in control and any bounces are likely to fail in either 3 or 7 swings.

On the other hand, buyers may wait for the blue box area for the next opportunity to enter the market. In conclusion, the ETF is expected to remain weak and reach $16.94 to $11.58, where a higher reaction might occur.

Share: Feed news

FURTHER DISCLOSURES AND DISCLAIMER CONCERNING RISK, RESPONSIBILITY AND LIABILITY Trading in the Foreign Exchange market is a challenging opportunity where above average returns are available for educated and experienced investors who are willing to take above average risk. However, before deciding to participate in Foreign Exchange (FX) trading, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of xperience and risk appetite. Do not invest or trade capital you cannot afford to lose. EME PROCESSING AND CONSULTING, LLC, THEIR REPRESENTATIVES, AND ANYONE WORKING FOR OR WITHIN WWW.ELLIOTTWAVE- FORECAST.COM is not responsible for any loss from any form of distributed advice, signal, analysis, or content. Again, we fully DISCLOSE to the Subscriber base that the Service as a whole, the individual Parties, Representatives, or owners shall not be liable to any and all Subscribers for any losses or damages as a result of any action taken by the Subscriber from any trade idea or signal posted on the website(s) distributed through any form of social-media, email, the website, and/or any other electronic, written, verbal, or future form of communication . All analysis, trading signals, trading recommendations, all charts, communicated interpretations of the wave counts, and all content from any media form produced by www.Elliottwave-forecast.com and/or the Representatives are solely the opinions and best efforts of the respective author(s). In general Forex instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose some or all of their initial margin funds. All content provided by www.Elliottwave-forecast.com is expressed in good faith and is intended to help Subscribers succeed in the marketplace, but it is never guaranteed. There is no “holy grail” to trading or forecasting the market and we are wrong sometimes like everyone else. Please understand and accept the risk involved when making any trading and/or investment decision. UNDERSTAND that all the content we provide is protected through copyright of EME PROCESSING AND CONSULTING, LLC. It is illegal to disseminate in any form of communication any part or all of our proprietary information without specific authorization. UNDERSTAND that you also agree to not allow persons that are not PAID SUBSCRIBERS to view any of the content not released publicly. IF YOU ARE FOUND TO BE IN VIOLATION OF THESE RESTRICTIONS you or your firm (as the Subscriber) will be charged fully with no discount for one year subscription to our Premium Plus Plan at $1,799.88 for EACH person or firm who received any of our content illegally through the respected intermediary’s (Subscriber in violation of terms) channel(s) of communication.