Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Lounge Day Chart.
Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave technical analysis
-
Function: Counter Trend.
-
Mode: Corrective.
-
Structure: Gray Wave 2.
-
Position: Orange Wave 3.
-
Direction of next higher degrees: Gray Wave 3.
Details
Gray wave 1 appears to be complete, and gray wave 2 is currently in progress.
-
Wave Cancel Invalid Level: 16,449.94.
This analysis evaluates the Hang Seng Index using Elliott Wave theory on a daily chart. The market is currently in a counter-trend phase, signifying a temporary reversal within the broader trend. The primary structure under observation is gray wave 2, which started after the completion of gray wave 1. This phase represents the continuation of the corrective phase before the next impulsive wave begins.
The current position is within orange wave 3, a smaller wave inside the broader gray wave 2 corrective structure. This stage reflects ongoing counter-trend movement, with further development expected before transitioning into gray wave 3, which will mark the resumption of the upward impulsive trend.
Key threshold: Invalidation level
The invalidation level is defined at 16,449.94. If the index falls to this level, the current wave count and outlook will be invalidated. This threshold serves as a vital reference for traders, helping to confirm the corrective phase and manage risks effectively.
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the Hang Seng Index is currently in a counter-trend phase, with gray wave 2 actively unfolding. The completion of gray wave 1 confirmed the beginning of this corrective phase, while orange wave 3 represents the ongoing activity within the structure. The counter-trend outlook remains valid as long as the index stays above the invalidation level of 16,449.94. Further corrective movement is expected before transitioning to the impulsive phase associated with gray wave 3.
Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Lounge Weekly Chart.
Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave technical analysis
-
Function: Counter Trend.
-
Mode: Corrective.
-
Structure: Gray Wave 2.
-
Position: Orange Wave 3.
-
Direction of next higher degrees: Gray Wave 3.
Details
Gray wave 1 appears to be complete, with gray wave 2 currently unfolding.
-
Wave Cancel Invalid Level: 16,449.94.
This analysis evaluates the Hang Seng Index using Elliott Wave theory on a weekly chart, highlighting a counter-trend phase. The market is currently in a corrective mode, indicating a temporary reversal within the larger trend. The primary structure under observation is gray wave 2, which began following the completion of gray wave 1. This phase marks the continuation of the corrective wave before the next impulsive phase begins.
At present, the index is positioned within orange wave 3, a smaller wave inside the larger gray wave 2 corrective structure. This phase signifies the ongoing progression of the counter-trend movement. Further development is expected before the index transitions to gray wave 3, resuming the upward impulsive trend.
Key threshold: Invalidation level
The invalidation level is specified at 16,449.94. If the index reaches this level, the current wave count and outlook will be invalidated. This level serves as a critical benchmark for traders to validate the corrective phase's structure and manage risks effectively.
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the Hang Seng Index is in a counter-trend phase, with gray wave 2 actively unfolding. The completion of gray wave 1 confirmed the start of this corrective phase, while orange wave 3 reflects the ongoing activity within it. The counter-trend outlook remains valid as long as the index stays above the invalidation level of 16,449.94. Continued corrective movement is expected before transitioning to the impulsive phase associated with gray wave 3.
Technical analyst: Malik Awais.
Hang Seng Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]
As with any investment opportunity there is a risk of making losses on investments that Trading Lounge expresses opinions on.
Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.
The advice we provide through our TradingLounge™ websites and our TradingLounge™ Membership has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Reliance on such advice, information or data is at your own risk. The decision to trade and the method of trading is for you alone to decide. This information is of a general nature only, so you should, before acting upon any of the information or advice provided by us, consider the appropriateness of the advice considering your own objectives, financial situation or needs. Therefore, you should consult your financial advisor or accountant to determine whether trading in securities and derivatives products is appropriate for you considering your financial circumstances.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds steady ahead of this week’s tariff showdown
EUR/USD flubbed a bullish run at the 1.0850 level on Monday, kicking off the new trading week on decidedly tepid footing. Investors are preparing for the newest round of tariff threats from US President Donald Trump.

GBP/USD treads water as markets await tariff blowback
GBP/USD churned chart paper in familiar territory on Monday, grinding out a familiar congestion zone as investors brace for the latest iteration of US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats.

Gold price extends bullish trend amid rising trade tensions; fresh record high and counting
Gold price continues to scale new record highs for the fourth straight day on Tuesday. Worries about the widening global trade war and geopolitical risks boost the commodity. Fed rate cut bets weigh on the USD and further benefit the non-yielding yellow metal.

PEPE could rally to double digits if it breaks above its key resistance level
Pepe memecoin approaches its descending trendline, trading around $0.000007 on Tuesday; a breakout indicates a bullish move ahead. Moreover, PEPE's long-to-short ratio supports a bullish thesis as bullish bets among the traders reach the highest over a month.

Is the US economy headed for a recession?
Leading economists say a recession is more likely than originally expected. With new tariffs set to be launched on April 2, investors and economists are growing more concerned about an economic slowdown or recession.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.